{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9259b049-57c9-4802-bbf9-05aedabcdf38", "symbol": "SCI", "name": "The Shipping Corporation of India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.705, "architecture_energy": 14.627, "architecture_maturity": 48.963, "architecture_confidence": 89.062, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.56, "rotation_up": 23.96, "upward_expansion": 47.39, "deceleration": 80.29, "rotation_down": 32.13, "downward_expansion": 27.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 290.883337, 293.493637, 297.512045, 288.472442 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 304.75, "trend_reference": 272.838062, "distance_from_trend": 0.116963, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 213.385069, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.428169, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.126317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.392108, "excess_performance": 0.435817, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116963, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086615, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.428169, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.299863, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.211263, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.325061, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.392108, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.363467, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32707084, "relative_activity": 0.998091, "balance": 0.363467, "dry_up": 0.450444, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078665, "annualized_volatility": 0.519057, "from_high_reference": -0.173559, "from_low_reference": 0.618022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 272.838062, "fair_value_reference": 213.385069, "structural_low": 217.550003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004273, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.009911, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.180432, "worst_return": -0.103766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.172273, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.204318, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.696057, "worst_return": -0.311512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071306, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.058892, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.74628, "worst_return": -0.292358, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011639, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048893, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.070233, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.105048, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015841, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": 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267.763538, "fair_value": 210.808344, "relative_strength": 14.850576, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.927765, "energy": 13.932931, "activity_lines": [ 284.833333, 292.850906, 295.436377, 284.685866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 291.450012, "volume": 9102741, "typical_volume": 31831824.05, "trend": 269.744547, "fair_value": 212.055587, "relative_strength": 17.739424, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.059693, "energy": 17.055143, "activity_lines": [ 284.963338, 291.737273, 295.965997, 286.214025 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 304.75, "volume": 32707084, "typical_volume": 32769653.15, "trend": 272.838062, "fair_value": 213.385069, "relative_strength": 21.126317, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.705031, "energy": 14.626517, "activity_lines": [ 290.883337, 293.493637, 297.512045, 288.472442 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }