{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "925b6f46-b815-45c5-b533-6c16ffc87f26",
    "symbol": "ENI",
    "name": "Eni S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.871,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.22,
    "architecture_energy": 39.733,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.643,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.407,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.46,
        "rotation_up": 66.75,
        "upward_expansion": 68.39,
        "deceleration": 62.67,
        "rotation_down": 11.96,
        "downward_expansion": 14.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.984334,
        22.277455,
        22.403688,
        22.199112
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.280001,
    "trend_reference": 21.328876,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091478,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.615874,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.592789,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.972279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.334929,
    "excess_performance": 0.164038,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091478,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113022,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.592789,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079723,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139317,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334929,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.892349,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41436613,
      "relative_activity": 0.944994,
      "balance": 1.892349,
      "dry_up": 1.089761,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05426,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.328207,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058551,
      "from_low_reference": 0.698376
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.328876,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.615874,
      "structural_low": 17.239688,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.061782,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009131,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.13579,
        "worst_return": -0.021605,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.018486,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04012,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.067999,
        "worst_return": -0.060459,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.027253,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.163577,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.018223,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.209145,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.114745,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.184323,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": 0.024869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 47540896.3,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 58359534,
        "typical_volume": 46423791.65,
        "trend": 21.076435,
        "fair_value": 14.540955,
        "relative_strength": 14.471409,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.280001,
        "volume": 41436613,
        "typical_volume": 43848542.05,
        "trend": 21.328876,
        "fair_value": 14.615874,
        "relative_strength": 7.972279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}