{ "ticker": { "uuid": "925c340d-a538-402f-bd00-2d36553439d5", "symbol": "SCHA", "name": "SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR US SMALL-CAP ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.552, "architecture_energy": 25.531, "architecture_maturity": 63.755, "architecture_confidence": 84.079, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.67, "rotation_up": 27.28, "upward_expansion": 56.39, "deceleration": 91.0, "rotation_down": 27.29, "downward_expansion": 20.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.212667, 34.436217, 33.983573, 33.119479 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 34.83, "trend_reference": 32.108149, "distance_from_trend": 0.084771, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.799847, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.350008, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.602693, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129018, "excess_performance": 0.003393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084771, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065996, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.350008, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001087, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026027, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03426, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129018, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.677537, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8852971, "relative_activity": 0.814842, "balance": 0.677537, "dry_up": 1.068609, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040784, "annualized_volatility": 0.176148, "from_high_reference": -0.037845, "from_low_reference": 0.369002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.108149, "fair_value_reference": 25.799847, "structural_low": 27.94, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-07-10", "close": 34.91, "volume": 10302027, "typical_volume": 12506268.55, "trend": 31.455412, "fair_value": 25.482852, "relative_strength": 6.137749, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.719314, "energy": 63.789107, "activity_lines": [ 35.041206, 34.557937, 33.374265, 32.503447 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.05, "volume": 15624702, "typical_volume": 12166789.15, "trend": 31.627, "fair_value": 25.561389, "relative_strength": 4.953973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.294625, "energy": 50.7016, "activity_lines": [ 34.714602, 34.543737, 33.552488, 32.67084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.93, "volume": 10302522, "typical_volume": 11698825.9, "trend": 31.789595, "fair_value": 25.638016, "relative_strength": 4.994266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.608548, "energy": 36.427935, "activity_lines": [ 34.394, 34.495246, 33.702283, 32.819421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.56, "volume": 11660058, "typical_volume": 11143355.15, "trend": 31.94951, "fair_value": 25.713967, "relative_strength": 2.535595, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.700379, "energy": 25.170256, "activity_lines": [ 34.027333, 34.353237, 33.794089, 32.933641 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.83, "volume": 8852971, "typical_volume": 10864652.45, "trend": 32.108149, "fair_value": 25.799847, "relative_strength": 2.602693, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.552321, "energy": 25.531119, "activity_lines": [ 34.212667, 34.436217, 33.983573, 33.119479 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }