{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9269d611-6ca0-4b15-b1a5-493e497fe9c4", "symbol": "DTZ", "name": "Dotz Nano Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.441, "architecture_energy": 56.815, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.304, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.73, "rotation_up": 11.48, "upward_expansion": 9.71, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 67.57, "downward_expansion": 83.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.026667, 0.0288, 0.03231, 0.032983 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.023, "trend_reference": 0.034117, "distance_from_trend": -0.325843, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.090519, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.74591, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.527501, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.378378, "excess_performance": -0.442084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.325843, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122589, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.74591, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080654, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.485275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271386, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.378378, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.591855, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 295346, "relative_activity": 0.174966, "balance": 0.591855, "dry_up": 0.791216, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.311037, "annualized_volatility": 0.878689, "from_high_reference": -0.77, "from_low_reference": 0.15 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.034117, "fair_value_reference": 0.090519, "structural_low": 0.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.027027, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.564103, "median_excess_return": -0.055792, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.486486, "worst_return": -0.266667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.06401, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.07783, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 1.045455, "worst_return": -0.433333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.191095, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.232572, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.129412, "worst_return": -0.37037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.530728, "energy": 64.061778, "activity_lines": [ 0.028067, 0.031509, 0.0337, 0.034056 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.03, "volume": 2567212, "typical_volume": 1687995.55, "trend": 0.03465, "fair_value": 0.091654, "relative_strength": -31.373492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.487336, "energy": 55.039888, "activity_lines": [ 0.0284, 0.030691, 0.03334, 0.033734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.023, "volume": 295346, "typical_volume": 1688022.45, "trend": 0.034117, "fair_value": 0.090519, "relative_strength": -48.527501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.44087, "energy": 56.814886, "activity_lines": [ 0.026667, 0.0288, 0.03231, 0.032983 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }