{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92769745-4cb9-4db6-8add-2bce818d4ebd", "symbol": "300583", "name": "Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.587, "architecture_energy": 31.756, "architecture_maturity": 58.365, "architecture_confidence": 68.595, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.9, "rotation_up": 25.07, "upward_expansion": 15.98, "deceleration": 66.43, "rotation_down": 33.99, "downward_expansion": 61.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.994992, 11.884693, 12.52335, 13.021718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.76, "trend_reference": 13.609485, "distance_from_trend": -0.062419, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.872287, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.24373, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.655775, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.12, "excess_performance": -0.1274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062419, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063482, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.24373, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152992, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146558, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065788, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.12, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.462475, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15658600, "relative_activity": 1.144362, "balance": 0.462475, "dry_up": 1.27373, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088638, "annualized_volatility": 0.38077, "from_high_reference": -0.334277, "from_low_reference": 0.174954 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.609485, "fair_value_reference": 16.872287, "structural_low": 10.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.005402, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.021495, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.158548, "worst_return": -0.234725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.007594, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.021795, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.027071, "worst_return": -0.207845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.123972, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.091047, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.030353, "worst_return": -0.26115, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 13574255.8, "trend": 13.803818, "fair_value": 16.94959, "relative_strength": -19.507975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.434979, "energy": 50.14132, "activity_lines": [ 11.856599, 12.074213, 12.946368, 13.382845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.95, "volume": 20076540, "typical_volume": 13723347.1, "trend": 13.703152, "fair_value": 16.918324, "relative_strength": -26.1105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.187629, "energy": 51.585622, "activity_lines": [ 11.597946, 11.783585, 12.703156, 13.198727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.84, "volume": 13209737, "typical_volume": 13645669.95, "trend": 13.640485, "fair_value": 16.893419, "relative_strength": -17.824673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.478992, "energy": 45.395929, "activity_lines": [ 11.669629, 11.727684, 12.562182, 13.078524 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.76, "volume": 15658600, "typical_volume": 13683261.95, "trend": 13.609485, "fair_value": 16.872287, "relative_strength": -14.655775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.587475, "energy": 31.755811, "activity_lines": [ 11.994992, 11.884693, 12.52335, 13.021718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }