{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9276c15a-1bc6-44d0-94fe-258f0dfd97a7", "symbol": "CBUS", "name": "Cibus Global LLC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.483, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.602, "architecture_energy": 19.056, "architecture_maturity": 19.706, "architecture_confidence": 64.422, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.83, "rotation_up": 42.21, "upward_expansion": 36.69, "deceleration": 41.31, "rotation_down": 15.34, "downward_expansion": 42.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.831333, 1.708, 1.585952, 1.732129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.81, "trend_reference": 1.911, "distance_from_trend": -0.052852, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.701955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.72993, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.16934, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.129808, "excess_performance": -0.317261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052852, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005437, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.72993, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089963, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091693, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129808, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.093178, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 744553, "relative_activity": 0.349362, "balance": 1.093178, "dry_up": 0.722221, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176541, "annualized_volatility": 1.212548, "from_high_reference": -0.568091, "from_low_reference": 0.66055 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.911, "fair_value_reference": 6.701955, "structural_low": 1.17, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.041176, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.039301, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.407115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.119874, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.177001, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.21875, "worst_return": -0.458498, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.203369, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.392925, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.095238, "worst_return": -0.501976, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.454545, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.868793, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.454545, "worst_return": -0.454545, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.328571, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.407115, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.099291, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.175, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.053191, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006623, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.110345, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.382114, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062176, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 16.6, "volume": 147584, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, 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"volume": 859514, "typical_volume": 2265426.25, "trend": 1.913333, "fair_value": 6.811442, "relative_strength": 1.77672, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.254325, "energy": 25.86296, "activity_lines": [ 1.816667, 1.660909, 1.566095, 1.738796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.81, "volume": 744553, "typical_volume": 2131178.8, "trend": 1.911, "fair_value": 6.701955, "relative_strength": -9.16934, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.601671, "energy": 19.055918, "activity_lines": [ 1.831333, 1.708, 1.585952, 1.732129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }