{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9287fd1c-d2c9-45b5-addd-973cf4d12b75", "symbol": "XDUS", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.234, "architecture_energy": 56.055, "architecture_maturity": 88.132, "architecture_confidence": 66.871, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.47, "rotation_up": 48.65, "upward_expansion": 79.87, "deceleration": 71.43, "rotation_down": 29.12, "downward_expansion": 8.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 16616.066667, 16580.363636, 16413.72381, 16082.512903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 17002.5, "trend_reference": 15686.766667, "distance_from_trend": 0.083875, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13218.544872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286261, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.666329, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.14172, "excess_performance": 0.090485, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083875, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033337, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286261, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025287, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026663, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012469, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14172, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.874565, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14500, "relative_activity": 1.322371, "balance": 1.874565, "dry_up": 1.697081, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019302, "annualized_volatility": 0.122783, "from_high_reference": -0.003501, "from_low_reference": 0.230015 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15686.766667, "fair_value_reference": 13218.544872, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.260675, "energy": 53.732994, "activity_lines": [ 16516.233333, 16530.7, 16271.27381, 15946.654839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16315.0, "volume": 7568, "typical_volume": 10734.95, "trend": 15628.933333, "fair_value": 13173.74359, "relative_strength": -1.15023, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.001703, "energy": 41.966095, "activity_lines": [ 16446.6, 16491.936364, 16313.411905, 15993.895699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17002.5, "volume": 14500, "typical_volume": 10965.15, "trend": 15686.766667, "fair_value": 13218.544872, "relative_strength": 2.666329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.234293, "energy": 56.055447, "activity_lines": [ 16616.066667, 16580.363636, 16413.72381, 16082.512903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }