{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "928ceeb1-d4ff-4d22-9397-57a93bf4419e",
    "symbol": "UCAL",
    "name": "UCAL Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.851,
    "architecture_energy": 45.404,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.365,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.612,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.87,
        "rotation_up": 58.68,
        "upward_expansion": 79.1,
        "deceleration": 58.88,
        "rotation_down": 18.07,
        "downward_expansion": 5.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        116.762667,
        115.528547,
        109.904716,
        107.358001
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 118.459999,
    "trend_reference": 106.379668,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.113559,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 144.047047,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.17763,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.886225,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.034043,
    "excess_performance": 0.077752,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013609,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.17763,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075908,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038862,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147022,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034043,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.6208,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28506,
      "relative_activity": 0.526955,
      "balance": 0.6208,
      "dry_up": 0.753058,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075124,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.463539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.194095,
      "from_low_reference": 0.538442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 106.379668,
      "fair_value_reference": 144.047047,
      "structural_low": 77.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.031244,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034358,
        "regime_survival": 0.55,
        "best_return": 0.110767,
        "worst_return": -0.182969,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.010802,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039342,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.172638,
        "worst_return": -0.115225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.00671,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101297,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.195099,
        "worst_return": -0.180966,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.146661,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.1981,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.436457,
        "worst_return": -0.273346,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.062086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 115593.25,
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        "relative_strength": -15.771976,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 144.812025,
        "relative_strength": 0.993011,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 56429.0,
        "trend": 105.477334,
        "fair_value": 144.681681,
        "relative_strength": 0.760212,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.510717,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 120.550003,
        "volume": 66425,
        "typical_volume": 57843.85,
        "trend": 105.759001,
        "fair_value": 144.435154,
        "relative_strength": 5.299265,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 46.036395,
        "energy": 69.278132,
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          117.484669,
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          105.406432
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 114.900002,
        "volume": 38086,
        "typical_volume": 55869.7,
        "trend": 105.879334,
        "fair_value": 144.271173,
        "relative_strength": 3.27014,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.008309,
        "energy": 68.062505,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.121335,
          112.923275,
          107.50624,
          105.996174
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 114.529999,
        "volume": 29932,
        "typical_volume": 54918.9,
        "trend": 106.002334,
        "fair_value": 144.113033,
        "relative_strength": 0.840946,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.521862,
        "energy": 48.876287,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.044668,
          114.098002,
          108.553145,
          106.554281
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 118.459999,
        "volume": 28506,
        "typical_volume": 54095.75,
        "trend": 106.379668,
        "fair_value": 144.047047,
        "relative_strength": 3.886225,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.851433,
        "energy": 45.404069,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.762667,
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          107.358001
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}