{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92951ae4-a490-471b-9947-687550fca659", "symbol": "GM", "name": "General Motors Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.893, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.252, "architecture_energy": 68.397, "architecture_maturity": 37.398, "architecture_confidence": 87.287, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.68, "rotation_up": 68.12, "upward_expansion": 85.89, "deceleration": 47.78, "rotation_down": 17.47, "downward_expansion": 21.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 1470.668652, 1433.148901, 1412.675867, 1398.780033 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1520.349976, "trend_reference": 1391.652226, "distance_from_trend": 0.092478, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 993.205503, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.530751, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.36613, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.048658, "excess_performance": 0.103325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092478, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005194, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.530751, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054014, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.123661, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099301, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.048658, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 19.908803, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2520, "relative_activity": 0.25717, "balance": 19.908803, "dry_up": 0.155476, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046893, "annualized_volatility": 0.288704, "from_high_reference": -0.032241, "from_low_reference": 0.536294 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1391.652226, "fair_value_reference": 993.205503, "structural_low": 1251.843506, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.043357, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.050159, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.061892, "worst_return": -0.124064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.024074, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.037741, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.115267, "worst_return": -0.168602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006235, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.097998, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.51895, "worst_return": -0.23098, 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1382.946316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1312.209961, "volume": 53, "typical_volume": 9663.75, "trend": 1389.361711, "fair_value": 976.057597, "relative_strength": -1.092038, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.669793, "energy": 38.173699, "activity_lines": [ 1352.867985, 1379.087753, 1377.164529, 1377.629875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1449.77002, "volume": 581, "typical_volume": 9662.4, "trend": 1388.15704, "fair_value": 981.318718, "relative_strength": 9.188764, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.736271, "energy": 15.409062, "activity_lines": [ 1378.177328, 1390.521564, 1385.028676, 1381.527185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1526.609985, "volume": 2940, "typical_volume": 9674.25, "trend": 1391.383781, "fair_value": 987.130391, "relative_strength": 13.434284, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.687264, "energy": 39.025275, "activity_lines": [ 1429.515324, 1413.893237, 1399.681343, 1390.459633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1520.349976, "volume": 2520, "typical_volume": 9798.95, "trend": 1391.652226, "fair_value": 993.205503, "relative_strength": 12.36613, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.25203, "energy": 68.397371, "activity_lines": [ 1470.668652, 1433.148901, 1412.675867, 1398.780033 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }