{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "929a2df4-4b83-4946-884f-397a1dad3c66",
    "symbol": "APRZ",
    "name": "TRUESHARES STRUCTURED OUTCOME (APRIL) ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.308,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.671,
    "architecture_energy": 58.027,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.606,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.432,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.57,
        "rotation_up": 57.0,
        "upward_expansion": 81.72,
        "deceleration": 57.52,
        "rotation_down": 25.6,
        "downward_expansion": 8.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        39.030993
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 40.9711,
    "trend_reference": 38.38697,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.067318,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.142003,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236229,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.135737,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.085399,
    "excess_performance": -0.040226,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067318,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022097,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.236229,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005004,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031357,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003493,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085399,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.852301,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6447,
      "relative_activity": 0.644323,
      "balance": 1.852301,
      "dry_up": 0.322012,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017779,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.124063,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.17897
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.38697,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.142003,
      "structural_low": 34.7516,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.014267,
        "positive_rate": 0.764706,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.764706,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004119,
        "regime_survival": 0.852941,
        "best_return": 0.051159,
        "worst_return": -0.03209,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.049056,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.047636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 10.267514,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13160.65,
        "trend": 37.114525,
        "fair_value": 31.820651,
        "relative_strength": -2.979492,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 14163.95,
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        "fair_value": 31.909477,
        "relative_strength": -2.952587,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 49.030619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 14810.3,
        "trend": 37.28456,
        "fair_value": 32.002694,
        "relative_strength": -3.485054,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 14387.45,
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        "relative_strength": -3.323825,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -3.39722,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.769184,
        "energy": 89.198069,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 32.456421,
        "relative_strength": -2.929905,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 37.901103,
        "fair_value": 32.626529,
        "relative_strength": -3.013611,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.620141,
        "energy": 42.845062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 11504.85,
        "trend": 37.976023,
        "fair_value": 32.713881,
        "relative_strength": -2.83153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 10699.2,
        "trend": 38.071483,
        "fair_value": 32.800983,
        "relative_strength": -3.003458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.812567,
        "energy": 52.878654,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 579,
        "typical_volume": 10461.3,
        "trend": 38.15089,
        "fair_value": 32.883925,
        "relative_strength": -2.590235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.312973,
        "energy": 46.177377,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.7765,
          39.738149,
          39.20146,
          38.668118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.4443,
        "volume": 527,
        "typical_volume": 10210.35,
        "trend": 38.205933,
        "fair_value": 32.963654,
        "relative_strength": -2.620532,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.395094,
        "energy": 42.942618,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.8532,
        "volume": 5335,
        "typical_volume": 9796.95,
        "trend": 38.287217,
        "fair_value": 33.049068,
        "relative_strength": -2.575136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.658212,
        "energy": 45.754676,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.763007,
          39.710887,
          39.424526,
          38.85784
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.9711,
        "volume": 6447,
        "typical_volume": 10005.85,
        "trend": 38.38697,
        "fair_value": 33.142003,
        "relative_strength": -3.135737,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.671003,
        "energy": 58.026674,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.15142,
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          39.637937,
          39.030993
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}