{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "92a6653f-31b0-4979-9711-ef76c8886127",
    "symbol": "EXPO",
    "name": "Export Investment Co. Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.151,
    "architecture_energy": 68.124,
    "architecture_maturity": 93.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.88,
        "rotation_up": 29.99,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 61.0,
        "rotation_down": 56.49,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.632,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.81,
    "trend_reference": 5665.466139,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.987854,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5759.59237,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.988053,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -99.071301,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.992663,
    "excess_performance": -1.021563,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.987854,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.307886,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988053,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.330894,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.990713,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.750143,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.992663,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.204907,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4444,
      "relative_activity": 1.611196,
      "balance": 0.204907,
      "dry_up": 1.905681,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 9.157312,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.353587,
      "from_high_reference": -0.992853,
      "from_low_reference": 0.0655
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5665.466139,
      "fair_value_reference": 5759.59237,
      "structural_low": 64.58,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.02753,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005303,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.178571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.00682,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027955,
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        "worst_return": -0.154338,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.012332,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003956,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.017692,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040854,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2690.0,
        "trend": 6472.075386,
        "fair_value": 5835.319132,
        "relative_strength": -99.175247,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -70.050335,
        "energy": 88.717356,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4937.789497
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.83,
        "volume": 926,
        "typical_volume": 2679.65,
        "trend": 6209.959824,
        "fair_value": 5810.576684,
        "relative_strength": -99.149275,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.63657,
        "energy": 68.960142,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2974.09436,
          4524.612375
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.92,
        "volume": 215,
        "typical_volume": 2631.1,
        "trend": 5944.280904,
        "fair_value": 5784.886178,
        "relative_strength": -99.116744,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.579222,
        "energy": 68.805472,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.81,
        "volume": 4444,
        "typical_volume": 2758.2,
        "trend": 5665.466139,
        "fair_value": 5759.59237,
        "relative_strength": -99.071301,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.15121,
        "energy": 68.123831,
        "activity_lines": [
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}