{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92bad94d-c783-4930-8537-6e100fffd435", "symbol": "L1VS34", "name": "Las Vegas Sands Corp.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.022, "architecture_energy": 78.122, "architecture_maturity": 43.779, "architecture_confidence": 92.655, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.67, "rotation_up": 21.02, "upward_expansion": 17.85, "deceleration": 40.64, "rotation_down": 61.52, "downward_expansion": 88.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.426656, 50.203317, 51.236341, 52.844335 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.110001, "trend_reference": 56.223259, "distance_from_trend": -0.090946, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.659808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010643, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.364131, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.294692, "excess_performance": -0.237644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.090946, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106809, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010643, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023604, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.173641, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.294692, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.002212, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.002212, "dry_up": 4.507992, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026338, "annualized_volatility": 0.395021, "from_high_reference": -0.314786, "from_low_reference": 0.095955 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.223259, "fair_value_reference": 51.659808, "structural_low": 46.635132, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.00302, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.025981, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.299424, "worst_return": -0.198862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.057886, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.003373, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.487528, "worst_return": -0.186534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.137576, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.096288, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.509894, "worst_return": -0.139447, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.468808, "energy": 68.942925, "activity_lines": [ 51.54434, 51.84467, 52.875488, 55.188878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.451719, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 10.0, "trend": 58.511338, "fair_value": 51.766463, "relative_strength": -25.254108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.343478, "energy": 93.638173, "activity_lines": [ 49.898357, 51.04774, 52.238286, 54.420858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.635132, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 55.0, "trend": 57.639428, "fair_value": 51.709074, "relative_strength": -26.18144, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.947913, "energy": 96.261487, "activity_lines": [ 48.395396, 50.197762, 51.579624, 53.654651 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.897321, "volume": 905, "typical_volume": 100.15, "trend": 56.927799, "fair_value": 51.679007, "relative_strength": -20.750102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.767068, "energy": 86.304174, "activity_lines": [ 48.782824, 50.187544, 51.387082, 53.219676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.110001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 100.1, "trend": 56.223259, "fair_value": 51.659808, "relative_strength": -17.364131, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.021695, "energy": 78.12241, "activity_lines": [ 49.426656, 50.203317, 51.236341, 52.844335 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }