{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92c51c31-cfb4-467b-ae12-73e7f01ce8cb", "symbol": "PRTS", "name": "CarParts.Com Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.556, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.079, "architecture_energy": 39.495, "architecture_maturity": 5.405, "architecture_confidence": 95.949, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.64, "rotation_up": 24.07, "upward_expansion": 7.99, "deceleration": 44.48, "rotation_down": 53.5, "downward_expansion": 81.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.844, 5.915, 6.386114, 6.708219 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.75, "trend_reference": 6.785067, "distance_from_trend": -0.005168, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.422731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.497122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.071073, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.340882, "excess_performance": 0.153428, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005168, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057105, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.497122, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01173, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110711, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092666, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.340882, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.104512, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 160756, "relative_activity": 0.118793, "balance": 0.104512, "dry_up": 0.088162, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153354, "annualized_volatility": 0.811653, "from_high_reference": -0.503676, "from_low_reference": 0.812567 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.785067, "fair_value_reference": 13.422731, "structural_low": 4.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.061404, "positive_rate": 0.358974, "directional_follow_through": 0.641026, "median_excess_return": -0.053395, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.483115, "worst_return": -0.359684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.193398, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.179276, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.679151, "worst_return": -0.535948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.218698, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.268386, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.275495, "worst_return": -0.662461, "sufficient": true }, { 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6.319333, 6.587745, 7.225557, 7.043342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 6.18, "volume": 51803, "typical_volume": 2319337.0, "trend": 6.6096, "fair_value": 14.699013, "relative_strength": -22.173521, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.72632, "energy": 21.509416, "activity_lines": [ 6.311, 6.407345, 7.106438, 7.019426 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.87, "volume": 53726, "typical_volume": 2150384.05, "trend": 6.667167, "fair_value": 14.446897, "relative_strength": -26.624003, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.811822, "energy": 30.623652, "activity_lines": [ 6.156667, 6.234945, 6.9617, 6.97171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.3, "volume": 77026, "typical_volume": 2068699.3, "trend": 6.693867, "fair_value": 14.187282, "relative_strength": -30.073913, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.649657, "energy": 44.164449, "activity_lines": [ 5.819667, 6.024091, 6.766776, 6.883505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.28, "volume": 156457, "typical_volume": 1655074.1, "trend": 6.719867, "fair_value": 13.903821, "relative_strength": -28.255389, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.602237, "energy": 54.447242, "activity_lines": [ 5.586, 5.867782, 6.578519, 6.792288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.4, "volume": 82976, "typical_volume": 1503584.35, "trend": 6.7332, "fair_value": 13.650615, "relative_strength": -26.050805, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.065607, "energy": 65.461849, "activity_lines": [ 5.462667, 5.761455, 6.4121, 6.707135 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.75, "volume": 160756, "typical_volume": 1353239.4, "trend": 6.785067, "fair_value": 13.422731, "relative_strength": -11.071073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.078631, "energy": 39.494508, "activity_lines": [ 5.844, 5.915, 6.386114, 6.708219 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }