{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92e923e0-cdee-4722-a9cc-286afd62e35c", "symbol": "300049", "name": "Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Science Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.581, "architecture_energy": 30.833, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.798, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.77, "rotation_up": 26.61, "upward_expansion": 16.02, "deceleration": 46.76, "rotation_down": 31.7, "downward_expansion": 61.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.726667, 42.899495, 45.435785, 48.677414 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 44.799999, "trend_reference": 54.499976, "distance_from_trend": -0.177981, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.229354, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.030919, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.844872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.336198, "excess_performance": -0.343598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.177981, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150667, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.030919, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28281, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288449, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089604, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.336198, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.629159, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48765677, "relative_activity": 1.493298, "balance": 0.629159, "dry_up": 1.554538, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127404, "annualized_volatility": 0.610061, "from_high_reference": -0.505955, "from_low_reference": 0.214783 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.499976, "fair_value_reference": 46.229354, "structural_low": 36.879005, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.017618, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.005028, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.433579, "worst_return": -0.252891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015052, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025559, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.695775, "worst_return": -0.224766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.419446, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.512316, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.935329, "worst_return": -0.030129, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 30180159.0, "trend": 56.343642, "fair_value": 45.928713, "relative_strength": -30.729703, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.109953, "energy": 42.284456, "activity_lines": [ 42.015904, 42.064922, 46.211302, 50.065626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.380001, "volume": 45426279, "typical_volume": 31229103.85, "trend": 55.353642, "fair_value": 46.078713, "relative_strength": -24.317793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.302845, "energy": 35.99983, "activity_lines": [ 43.246667, 42.449118, 45.832829, 49.358294 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.799999, "volume": 48765677, "typical_volume": 32656355.35, "trend": 54.499976, "fair_value": 46.229354, "relative_strength": -28.844872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.581453, "energy": 30.833339, "activity_lines": [ 43.726667, 42.899495, 45.435785, 48.677414 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }