{ "ticker": { "uuid": "92fdec0d-8bbb-4854-a9ac-64e3ee7510ba", "symbol": "SGYE", "name": "Leverage Shares -3x Short Germany 40 ETP Securities", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -92.983, "architecture_energy": 91.064, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.262, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 12.69, "upward_expansion": 20.26, "deceleration": 38.11, "rotation_down": 80.56, "downward_expansion": 95.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.7786, 0.825936, 0.88595, 0.94284 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.6625, "trend_reference": 0.995467, "distance_from_trend": -0.334483, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.623882, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.747512, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.62819, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.367844, "excess_performance": -0.419079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.334483, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089068, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.747512, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079272, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.436282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232575, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.367844, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.572861, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 151579, "relative_activity": 11.647469, "balance": 0.572861, "dry_up": 4.428899, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108563, "annualized_volatility": 0.596444, "from_high_reference": -0.531471, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.995467, "fair_value_reference": 2.623882, "structural_low": 0.6625, 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"down", "direction": -60.856878, "energy": 61.931208, "activity_lines": [ 0.924133, 0.939873, 1.002488, 1.025069 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.816, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1170.3, "trend": 1.040317, "fair_value": 2.774898, "relative_strength": -32.734119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.702026, "energy": 79.996877, "activity_lines": [ 0.889333, 0.913736, 0.980988, 1.009885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.8795, "volume": 12327, "typical_volume": 1785.1, "trend": 1.032067, "fair_value": 2.745063, "relative_strength": -25.581159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.236052, "energy": 75.307899, "activity_lines": [ 0.880933, 0.903091, 0.966483, 0.99951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.9035, "volume": 74670, "typical_volume": 5467.2, "trend": 1.024983, "fair_value": 2.715855, "relative_strength": -23.656472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.657114, "energy": 69.288558, "activity_lines": [ 0.883633, 0.898882, 0.9547, 0.991215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.864, "volume": 64, "typical_volume": 5458.75, "trend": 1.01695, "fair_value": 2.688284, "relative_strength": -27.262216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.085244, "energy": 70.541236, "activity_lines": [ 0.876, 0.889282, 0.939455, 0.980829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.772, "volume": 4236, "typical_volume": 5636.85, "trend": 1.006383, "fair_value": 2.656799, "relative_strength": -34.952376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.493992, "energy": 70.05818, "activity_lines": [ 0.8401, 0.866155, 0.916938, 0.965026 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6625, "volume": 151579, "typical_volume": 13013.9, "trend": 0.995467, "fair_value": 2.623882, "relative_strength": -43.62819, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.983216, "energy": 91.064357, "activity_lines": [ 0.7786, 0.825936, 0.88595, 0.94284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }