{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9306bebe-3b1f-4fe0-bb6e-b2211df5c5e6",
    "symbol": "IXC",
    "name": "iShares Global Energy ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.486,
    "architecture_energy": 30.807,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.268,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.281,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.35,
        "rotation_up": 63.62,
        "upward_expansion": 61.49,
        "deceleration": 58.66,
        "rotation_down": 7.15,
        "downward_expansion": 16.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 925.5,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.01231,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 769.565178,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202627,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.281136,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.127284,
    "excess_performance": 0.181951,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01231,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059492,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202627,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002365,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072811,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052845,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127284,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.103712,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1577,
      "relative_activity": 0.90653,
      "balance": 1.103712,
      "dry_up": 0.405697,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044085,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.343375,
      "from_high_reference": -0.132615,
      "from_low_reference": 0.323346
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 769.565178,
      "structural_low": 840.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043252,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.005013,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.003108,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 3.472965,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 578,
        "typical_volume": 2318.1,
        "trend": 892.445404,
        "fair_value": 763.94493,
        "relative_strength": 9.214566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.985668,
        "energy": 32.997495,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 343,
        "typical_volume": 2068.75,
        "trend": 900.678737,
        "fair_value": 765.913228,
        "relative_strength": 12.385086,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.502783,
        "energy": 16.515417,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 962.5,
        "volume": 325,
        "typical_volume": 1841.65,
        "trend": 909.095404,
        "fair_value": 767.916782,
        "relative_strength": 11.870394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.776465,
        "energy": 29.831056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 925.5,
        "volume": 1577,
        "typical_volume": 1739.6,
        "trend": 914.245404,
        "fair_value": 769.565178,
        "relative_strength": 7.281136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.485692,
        "energy": 30.806866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}