{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "930ac53e-00d7-4c39-8f31-08bd491cf6f8",
    "symbol": "S6EW",
    "name": "Ossiam STOXX Europe 600 ESG Equal Weight NR UCITS ETF 1C (EUR)",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.669,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.744,
    "architecture_energy": 91.801,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.214,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.327,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.37,
        "rotation_up": 80.33,
        "upward_expansion": 96.48,
        "deceleration": 42.5,
        "rotation_down": 12.76,
        "downward_expansion": 20.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        158.193332,
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        153.977523,
        151.787741
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 161.300003,
    "trend_reference": 149.674,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077676,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 129.431025,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.246224,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.91224,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.088394,
    "excess_performance": 0.035083,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077676,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033546,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246224,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061285,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039122,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008323,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088394,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.3013,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 101,
      "relative_activity": 0.052323,
      "balance": 0.3013,
      "dry_up": 0.108144,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016548,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.15758,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000743,
      "from_low_reference": 0.211871
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 149.674,
      "fair_value_reference": 129.431025,
      "structural_low": 133.100006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.007861,
        "positive_rate": 0.594595,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004131,
        "regime_survival": 0.72973,
        "best_return": 0.048958,
        "worst_return": -0.041465,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.013421,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005248,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.057424,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.042703,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010594,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": 0.029028,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.149508,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 149.059998,
        "volume": 189,
        "typical_volume": 2099.5,
        "trend": 143.663999,
        "fair_value": 125.795513,
        "relative_strength": 4.744543,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.8512,
        "energy": 49.99576,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 147.259995,
        "volume": 8800,
        "typical_volume": 2534.8,
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        "relative_strength": 5.384623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.626812,
        "energy": 50.816667,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 151.339996,
        "volume": 1420,
        "typical_volume": 2601.2,
        "trend": 144.359999,
        "fair_value": 126.293461,
        "relative_strength": 5.977027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.39761,
        "energy": 45.87509,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 152.880005,
        "volume": 89,
        "typical_volume": 2601.6,
        "trend": 144.815999,
        "fair_value": 126.565,
        "relative_strength": 6.022636,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 20,
        "typical_volume": 1981.15,
        "trend": 145.289999,
        "fair_value": 126.825641,
        "relative_strength": 4.170491,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 49.879899,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 1073,
        "typical_volume": 2033.55,
        "trend": 145.766666,
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        "relative_strength": 3.487485,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 2.988349,
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        "energy": 72.694396,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 152.979996,
        "volume": 209,
        "typical_volume": 1978.7,
        "trend": 146.82,
        "fair_value": 127.654743,
        "relative_strength": 3.127655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.371096,
        "energy": 72.15871,
        "activity_lines": [
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          148.319828
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 156.720001,
        "volume": 116,
        "typical_volume": 1979.65,
        "trend": 147.369333,
        "fair_value": 127.972564,
        "relative_strength": 4.005843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.917412,
        "energy": 83.231684,
        "activity_lines": [
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          150.10619,
          148.958537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 153.779999,
        "volume": 223,
        "typical_volume": 1988.95,
        "trend": 147.824666,
        "fair_value": 128.248846,
        "relative_strength": 4.010268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.445334,
        "energy": 77.239156,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.258666,
          153.18,
          150.624571,
          149.372129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 156.100006,
        "volume": 14,
        "typical_volume": 1971.7,
        "trend": 148.285333,
        "fair_value": 128.53141,
        "relative_strength": 5.423611,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.297989,
        "energy": 83.305061,
        "activity_lines": [
          155.001335,
          153.908729,
          151.352953,
          149.906022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 155.899994,
        "volume": 592,
        "typical_volume": 2000.05,
        "trend": 148.731333,
        "fair_value": 128.800769,
        "relative_strength": 4.747029,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.941788,
        "energy": 81.131936,
        "activity_lines": [
          155.443999,
          154.473091,
          152.043714,
          150.39729
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 158.179993,
        "volume": 128,
        "typical_volume": 1971.55,
        "trend": 149.196666,
        "fair_value": 129.102436,
        "relative_strength": 4.455443,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.241947,
        "energy": 79.260149,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.471997,
          155.294908,
          152.900761,
          151.006881
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 161.300003,
        "volume": 101,
        "typical_volume": 1930.3,
        "trend": 149.674,
        "fair_value": 129.431025,
        "relative_strength": 3.91224,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.744179,
        "energy": 91.80095,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.193332,
          156.559636,
          153.977523,
          151.787741
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}