{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93154bab-d287-49ec-bc78-0970c6920771", "symbol": "C8R", "name": "Jiutian Chemical Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.403, "architecture_energy": 64.912, "architecture_maturity": 21.204, "architecture_confidence": 89.828, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.9, "rotation_up": 12.42, "upward_expansion": 13.31, "deceleration": 38.13, "rotation_down": 70.04, "downward_expansion": 88.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.020733, 0.0212, 0.02191, 0.022166 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.02, "trend_reference": 0.0226, "distance_from_trend": -0.115044, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.025519, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216277, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.681282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.321502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115044, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060942, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216277, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072973, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180439, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.064886, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2171100, "relative_activity": 0.299218, "balance": 0.064886, "dry_up": 0.542251, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076923, "annualized_volatility": 0.403684, "from_high_reference": -0.375, "from_low_reference": 0.111111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0226, "fair_value_reference": 0.025519, "structural_low": 0.018, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.037749, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.036576, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.3, "worst_return": -0.22449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.024868, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.005953, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.06582, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.65, "worst_return": -0.514709, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.022, "volume": 1893400, "typical_volume": 9397695.0, "trend": 0.0232, "fair_value": 0.026141, "relative_strength": -24.752046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.77254, "energy": 32.532384, "activity_lines": [ 0.021933, 0.022182, 0.022557, 0.022744 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.021, "volume": 2982200, "typical_volume": 8066685.0, "trend": 0.023067, "fair_value": 0.025955, "relative_strength": -28.013846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.051858, "energy": 56.322934, "activity_lines": [ 0.0216, 0.021909, 0.02241, 0.022602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.021, "volume": 3105800, "typical_volume": 7796290.0, "trend": 0.022933, "fair_value": 0.025776, "relative_strength": -28.235893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.893231, "energy": 51.955572, "activity_lines": [ 0.021333, 0.021691, 0.022271, 0.022469 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.021, "volume": 7479000, "typical_volume": 7320460.0, "trend": 0.022767, "fair_value": 0.025628, "relative_strength": -28.08015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.870775, "energy": 50.644055, "activity_lines": [ 0.0212, 0.021527, 0.022138, 0.022344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.02, "volume": 2171100, "typical_volume": 7255915.0, "trend": 0.0226, "fair_value": 0.025519, "relative_strength": -31.681282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.402688, "energy": 64.912176, "activity_lines": [ 0.020733, 0.0212, 0.02191, 0.022166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }