{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9315d5ca-abc9-4a8a-ae2f-a7189a112951", "symbol": "OUT", "name": "Outfront Media Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.955, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.737, "architecture_energy": 21.359, "architecture_maturity": 55.955, "architecture_confidence": 88.928, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.59, "rotation_up": 32.41, "upward_expansion": 59.48, "deceleration": 84.97, "rotation_down": 26.53, "downward_expansion": 18.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.938667, 32.192, 31.941005, 30.943306 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.21, "trend_reference": 29.381196, "distance_from_trend": 0.062244, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.762749, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.757048, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.605504, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.184094, "excess_performance": 0.058469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062244, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121335, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.757048, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328967, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.106055, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30781, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.184094, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.586191, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14683983, "relative_activity": 1.823456, "balance": 0.586191, "dry_up": 1.083616, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062753, "annualized_volatility": 0.332543, "from_high_reference": -0.098681, "from_low_reference": 0.970016 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.381196, "fair_value_reference": 17.762749, "structural_low": 24.287032, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.014634, "positive_rate": 0.551724, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.000304, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.163749, "worst_return": -0.221854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.061992, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.02497, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.280376, "worst_return": -0.382494, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.132855, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.03206, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.587862, "worst_return": -0.399822, "sufficient": true }, { 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33.04, "volume": 7160993, "typical_volume": 8042102.3, "trend": 28.243786, "fair_value": 17.22859, "relative_strength": 24.140017, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.212688, "energy": 48.532081, "activity_lines": [ 32.670667, 32.325977, 31.35522, 30.071022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.21, "volume": 5084053, "typical_volume": 7728018.65, "trend": 28.569889, "fair_value": 17.360417, "relative_strength": 25.55543, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.988146, "energy": 54.041226, "activity_lines": [ 32.963333, 32.493977, 31.642227, 30.391423 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.03, "volume": 7690902, "typical_volume": 7746414.85, "trend": 28.849144, "fair_value": 17.484733, "relative_strength": 20.761701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.194751, "energy": 41.554732, "activity_lines": [ 32.738, 32.454107, 31.793184, 30.614656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.87, "volume": 7445765, "typical_volume": 7717779.05, "trend": 29.136789, "fair_value": 17.624501, "relative_strength": 17.845338, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.383816, "energy": 33.873425, "activity_lines": [ 32.402667, 32.370235, 31.911414, 30.80955 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.21, "volume": 14683983, "typical_volume": 8052831.7, "trend": 29.381196, "fair_value": 17.762749, "relative_strength": 10.605504, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.737443, "energy": 21.359094, "activity_lines": [ 31.938667, 32.192, 31.941005, 30.943306 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }