{ "ticker": { "uuid": "931718c0-c6b8-4448-9af9-ee1a54ea1d24", "symbol": "AGAE", "name": "BNP PARIBAS EASY II Global High Yield Opportunities UCITS ETF EUR (H) Acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.268, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.276, "architecture_energy": 54.092, "architecture_maturity": 21.629, "architecture_confidence": 67.4, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.08, "rotation_up": 56.99, "upward_expansion": 80.67, "deceleration": 65.68, "rotation_down": 23.95, "downward_expansion": 7.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.6614, 10.652155, 10.62026, 10.588433 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.715, "trend_reference": 10.564367, "distance_from_trend": 0.014259, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.380601, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.929523, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.013478, "excess_performance": -0.051161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014259, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004049, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.032214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008556, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059295, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060817, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013478, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.218615, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1002, "relative_activity": 0.921295, "balance": 2.218615, "dry_up": 0.238369, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005061, "annualized_volatility": 0.037351, "from_high_reference": -0.001631, "from_low_reference": 0.039383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.564367, "fair_value_reference": 10.380601, "structural_low": 10.309, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 10.052, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 10.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 10.0965, 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"stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 10.626, "volume": 446, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 10.625, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 10.654, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.669, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.669, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.615, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.6235, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.715, "volume": 1002, "typical_volume": 1087.6, "trend": 10.564367, "fair_value": 10.380601, "relative_strength": -5.929523, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.275655, "energy": 54.091763, "activity_lines": [ 10.6614, 10.652155, 10.62026, 10.588433 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }