{ "ticker": { "uuid": "931b0079-afac-47ed-a230-9a9aa438022c", "symbol": "688026", "name": "Guangzhou Jet Bio-Filtration Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 80.883, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.859, "architecture_energy": 28.713, "architecture_maturity": 45.772, "architecture_confidence": 85.134, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.76, "rotation_up": 22.1, "upward_expansion": 5.74, "deceleration": 51.52, "rotation_down": 48.26, "downward_expansion": 76.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.79487, 13.886044, 14.35412, 14.990103 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.540001, "trend_reference": 15.873942, "distance_from_trend": 0.041959, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.956956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.10584, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.196466, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.078038, "excess_performance": -0.034834, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061435, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.10584, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026658, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119406, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.078038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.910524, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25366604, "relative_activity": 2.39251, "balance": 0.910524, "dry_up": 1.651667, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115623, "annualized_volatility": 0.567881, "from_high_reference": -0.23638, "from_low_reference": 0.477829 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.873942, "fair_value_reference": 14.956956, "structural_low": 11.192091, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.028255, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.022869, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.223469, "worst_return": -0.225849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.061342, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.04887, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.287012, "worst_return": -0.285003, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.257004, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.170539, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.20436, "worst_return": -0.349091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.801814, "energy": 44.863719, "activity_lines": [ 13.929589, 14.132972, 14.810394, 15.461596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.480343, "volume": 16007724, "typical_volume": 9550645.7, "trend": 15.975942, "fair_value": 14.998466, "relative_strength": -30.163675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.810554, "energy": 62.344997, "activity_lines": [ 12.991175, 13.604527, 14.43296, 15.161429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.64, "volume": 12560829, "typical_volume": 9807023.85, "trend": 15.859609, "fair_value": 14.963247, "relative_strength": -22.757564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.088021, "energy": 70.713093, "activity_lines": [ 12.680624, 13.362013, 14.195587, 14.946206 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.540001, "volume": 25366604, "typical_volume": 10602505.1, "trend": 15.873942, "fair_value": 14.956956, "relative_strength": -1.196466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.859314, "energy": 28.713272, "activity_lines": [ 13.79487, 13.886044, 14.35412, 14.990103 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }