{ "ticker": { "uuid": "931f63e7-af64-4dfb-bce1-fd24d2600f0d", "symbol": "YESBANK", "name": "Yes Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.889, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.089, "architecture_energy": 27.763, "architecture_maturity": 56.212, "architecture_confidence": 84.978, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.15, "rotation_up": 19.79, "upward_expansion": 54.9, "deceleration": 93.48, "rotation_down": 33.27, "downward_expansion": 20.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.969334, 23.47891, 23.033096, 22.286624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 22.690001, "trend_reference": 21.640334, "distance_from_trend": 0.048505, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.270513, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.066735, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.425529, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.065759, "excess_performance": 0.109468, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048505, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021027, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.066735, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040942, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054255, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084051, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.065759, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.304882, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 210179727, "relative_activity": 0.550621, "balance": 0.304882, "dry_up": 0.816669, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048581, "annualized_volatility": 0.321294, "from_high_reference": -0.113672, "from_low_reference": 0.319186 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.640334, "fair_value_reference": 21.270513, "structural_low": 17.200001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.027885, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.012501, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.16914, "worst_return": -0.110827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00042, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.033948, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.275316, "worst_return": -0.143779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.094213, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.077647, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.554896, "worst_return": -0.028481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.082278, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.066994, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.216459, "worst_return": -0.319748, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.057803, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.146635, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.001681, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.029126, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.052331, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045863, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040399, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.035427, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03871, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106464, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.072659, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.107672, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.077201, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.003513, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 16.9, "volume": 347345087, "typical_volume": 481859525.0, "trend": 16.326667, "fair_value": 14.961859, "relative_strength": -5.974277, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": 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24.466667, 23.767273, 22.258095, 21.761785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 23.940001, "volume": 315777010, "typical_volume": 408737332.2, "trend": 21.518, "fair_value": 21.122949, "relative_strength": 14.610973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.630524, "energy": 72.725231, "activity_lines": [ 24.380667, 23.920909, 22.51281, 21.922387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.610001, "volume": 287560118, "typical_volume": 397449249.4, "trend": 21.581667, "fair_value": 21.15859, "relative_strength": 12.033838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.759213, "energy": 51.771677, "activity_lines": [ 24.142001, 23.941637, 22.722286, 22.057355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.950001, "volume": 490264630, "typical_volume": 402838739.8, "trend": 21.629334, "fair_value": 21.197051, "relative_strength": 11.064116, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.876449, "energy": 34.266152, "activity_lines": [ 23.644001, 23.830182, 22.855143, 22.145635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.77, "volume": 258932500, "typical_volume": 393976517.5, "trend": 21.645334, "fair_value": 21.234359, "relative_strength": 6.990472, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.800344, "energy": 24.190031, "activity_lines": [ 23.250001, 23.67, 22.957381, 22.219226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.690001, "volume": 210179727, "typical_volume": 381714260.95, "trend": 21.640334, "fair_value": 21.270513, "relative_strength": 5.425529, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.088792, "energy": 27.762792, "activity_lines": [ 22.969334, 23.47891, 23.033096, 22.286624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }