{ "ticker": { "uuid": "932dea01-06d1-4ae9-8301-f5ee7597037c", "symbol": "301199", "name": "MH Robot & Automation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.164, "architecture_energy": 49.789, "architecture_maturity": 49.929, "architecture_confidence": 92.705, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.09, "rotation_up": 16.93, "upward_expansion": 8.11, "deceleration": 45.68, "rotation_down": 57.17, "downward_expansion": 79.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.048667, 18.494502, 19.541886, 20.486797 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.540001, "trend_reference": 21.788982, "distance_from_trend": -0.149111, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.778075, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107713, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.56762, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.241408, "excess_performance": -0.248807, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.149111, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063419, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.107713, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216895, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.235676, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009596, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.241408, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.568432, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8830404, "relative_activity": 0.844194, "balance": 0.568432, "dry_up": 1.254177, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120842, "annualized_volatility": 0.538652, "from_high_reference": -0.415351, "from_low_reference": 0.140221 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.788982, "fair_value_reference": 20.778075, "structural_low": 16.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.010715, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.020068, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.13936, "worst_return": -0.115234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.019081, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05758, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.378608, "worst_return": -0.311111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.081408, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.179737, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.050292, "worst_return": -0.112524, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.201875, "energy": 43.241565, "activity_lines": [ 18.539333, 18.855094, 20.059881, 20.996193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.639999, "volume": 8372538, "typical_volume": 10360155.85, "trend": 21.948315, "fair_value": 20.781249, "relative_strength": -24.224714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.596676, "energy": 46.393367, "activity_lines": [ 18.162, 18.54346, 19.74336, 20.706689 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.540001, "volume": 8830404, "typical_volume": 10460160.35, "trend": 21.788982, "fair_value": 20.778075, "relative_strength": -23.56762, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.163578, "energy": 49.789072, "activity_lines": [ 18.048667, 18.494502, 19.541886, 20.486797 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }