{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "93332e92-b14f-4f8a-b020-a8f7688019c9",
    "symbol": "RAY-B",
    "name": "RaySearch Laboratories AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.157,
    "architecture_energy": 36.721,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.396,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.844,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.52,
        "rotation_up": 19.43,
        "upward_expansion": 21.49,
        "deceleration": 57.98,
        "rotation_down": 68.63,
        "downward_expansion": 44.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        180.666664,
        194.250907,
        199.762772,
        198.189325
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 179.899994,
    "trend_reference": 196.195234,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.083056,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 181.886291,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010921,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.191801,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.026298,
    "excess_performance": -0.035196,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083056,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033246,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010921,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08385,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.251918,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073637,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026298,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.815512,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 676655,
      "relative_activity": 0.934931,
      "balance": 0.815512,
      "dry_up": 1.636558,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.120067,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.615287,
      "from_high_reference": -0.390689,
      "from_low_reference": 0.175049
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 196.195234,
      "fair_value_reference": 181.886291,
      "structural_low": 153.100006,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.006289,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038478,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.157563,
        "worst_return": -0.066667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.21703,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.110835,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.286859,
        "worst_return": -0.0587,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.434295,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.370933,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.744548,
        "worst_return": -0.179036,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.725857,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.590187,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.725857,
        "worst_return": 0.725857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.183486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.293454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.126255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.34542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.442661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.131129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.046122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.24957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 61.873432,
        "volume": 128651,
        "typical_volume": 309511.7,
        "trend": 69.622754,
        "fair_value": 66.800282,
        "relative_strength": -3.030328,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.00408,
        "energy": 20.301104,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 315908.45,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 220.199997,
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        "trend": 201.724597,
        "fair_value": 174.974819,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.895539,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 176.882457,
        "relative_strength": -17.522707,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.637373,
        "energy": 39.263568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 232.399994,
        "volume": 69248,
        "typical_volume": 653203.3,
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        "fair_value": 178.022165,
        "relative_strength": -9.930395,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 70.728544,
        "energy": 50.916465,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 365159,
        "typical_volume": 625149.85,
        "trend": 201.721764,
        "fair_value": 179.117571,
        "relative_strength": -5.962483,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.382685,
        "energy": 48.83043,
        "activity_lines": [
          224.346665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 174.399994,
        "volume": 2065909,
        "typical_volume": 700614.9,
        "trend": 200.190537,
        "fair_value": 179.794758,
        "relative_strength": -27.750764,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.449301,
        "energy": 9.940307,
        "activity_lines": [
          208.853331,
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          206.65071,
          202.491053
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 170.300003,
        "volume": 1243381,
        "typical_volume": 723456.25,
        "trend": 198.538965,
        "fair_value": 180.45118,
        "relative_strength": -29.184363,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.535369,
        "energy": 15.893331,
        "activity_lines": [
          195.046665,
          204.701817,
          203.687535,
          200.562631
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 179.199997,
        "volume": 751882,
        "typical_volume": 715636.85,
        "trend": 197.347273,
        "fair_value": 181.156071,
        "relative_strength": -25.146138,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.610901,
        "energy": 30.768458,
        "activity_lines": [
          186.719998,
          199.125453,
          201.674083,
          199.314956
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 179.899994,
        "volume": 676655,
        "typical_volume": 723748.8,
        "trend": 196.195234,
        "fair_value": 181.886291,
        "relative_strength": -25.191801,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.157429,
        "energy": 36.721202,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.666664,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}