{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93532132-0fc9-4da4-a9ac-63f207dc37fa", "symbol": "B4P", "name": "Beforepay Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 53.815, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.943, "architecture_energy": 33.214, "architecture_maturity": 23.577, "architecture_confidence": 56.847, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.3, "rotation_up": 60.53, "upward_expansion": 34.8, "deceleration": 45.45, "rotation_down": 19.46, "downward_expansion": 25.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.406182, 1.381071, 1.406656 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.575, "trend_reference": 1.491333, "distance_from_trend": 0.056102, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.217933, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293175, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.929455, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.089595, "excess_performance": -0.153301, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056102, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214468, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.293175, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007462, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189295, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027934, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.089595, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.350355, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 219348, "relative_activity": 1.231866, "balance": 0.350355, "dry_up": 1.220054, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090476, "annualized_volatility": 0.661634, "from_high_reference": -0.431408, "from_low_reference": 0.334746 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.491333, "fair_value_reference": 1.217933, "structural_low": 1.18, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.091775, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.081783, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.16369, "worst_return": -0.224, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.35873, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.321584, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.584416, "worst_return": -0.216, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.657143, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.639605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.733766, "worst_return": -0.104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.225, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.216346, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.106383, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.496933, "active": false }, { "regime": 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-60.047827, "energy": 47.707521, "activity_lines": [ 1.277333, 1.291091, 1.346738, 1.432871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.3, "volume": 204874, "typical_volume": 167167.65, "trend": 1.5855, "fair_value": 1.198574, "relative_strength": -30.420974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.469776, "energy": 38.338742, "activity_lines": [ 1.286667, 1.286364, 1.338, 1.411398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.28, "volume": 126200, "typical_volume": 166723.3, "trend": 1.5435, "fair_value": 1.203253, "relative_strength": -31.030395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.99508, "energy": 34.94302, "activity_lines": [ 1.287, 1.281455, 1.328786, 1.391688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.72, "volume": 318557, "typical_volume": 173259.3, "trend": 1.5195, "fair_value": 1.211042, "relative_strength": -9.07048, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.346545, "energy": 17.305394, "activity_lines": [ 1.432667, 1.36, 1.362048, 1.403075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.575, "volume": 219348, "typical_volume": 178061.6, "trend": 1.491333, "fair_value": 1.217933, "relative_strength": -18.929455, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.9434, "energy": 33.21427, "activity_lines": [ 1.502, 1.406182, 1.381071, 1.406656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }