{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93875df7-5c62-4e6f-9762-0f35e16d6846", "symbol": "MASTERTR", "name": "Master Trust Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.607, "architecture_energy": 8.388, "architecture_maturity": 9.411, "architecture_confidence": 58.831, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.08, "rotation_up": 19.88, "upward_expansion": 37.6, "deceleration": 40.57, "rotation_down": 34.95, "downward_expansion": 38.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.106, 82.483455, 82.412285, 81.670064 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 79.650002, "trend_reference": 83.197333, "distance_from_trend": -0.042638, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 121.135227, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.34247, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.699792, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.095811, "excess_performance": -0.052102, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.042638, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125867, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.34247, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048596, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226998, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005854, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.095811, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.786497, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1261322, "relative_activity": 0.318886, "balance": 3.786497, "dry_up": 0.625, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104892, "annualized_volatility": 0.628214, "from_high_reference": -0.525893, "from_low_reference": 0.432554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.197333, "fair_value_reference": 121.135227, "structural_low": 55.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.191487, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.166765, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.191487, "worst_return": 0.191487, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 86.220001, "volume": 6075668, "typical_volume": 3878256.0, "trend": 86.593, "fair_value": 122.510588, "relative_strength": -19.195399, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.814656, "energy": 9.291624, "activity_lines": [ 84.249333, 82.764363, 81.699428, 82.30329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.709999, "volume": 1512381, "typical_volume": 3933469.85, "trend": 85.463, "fair_value": 122.071046, "relative_strength": -17.563389, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.786122, "energy": 11.836775, "activity_lines": [ 85.118, 82.982909, 82.201095, 82.181806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.139999, "volume": 1039117, "typical_volume": 3926959.6, "trend": 84.259, "fair_value": 121.612069, "relative_strength": -20.965977, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.476817, "energy": 19.608698, "activity_lines": [ 84.724666, 82.885272, 82.451571, 81.967419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.650002, "volume": 1261322, "typical_volume": 3955397.15, "trend": 83.197333, "fair_value": 121.135227, "relative_strength": -22.699792, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.606632, "energy": 8.388412, "activity_lines": [ 83.106, 82.483455, 82.412285, 81.670064 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }