{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "938e0bcb-c942-46af-8387-edbdac2a560f",
    "symbol": "UIM1",
    "name": "UBS Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF EUR dis",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.149,
    "architecture_energy": 76.149,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.576,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.894,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.6,
        "rotation_up": 61.35,
        "upward_expansion": 86.31,
        "deceleration": 53.98,
        "rotation_down": 22.81,
        "downward_expansion": 15.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.313333,
        64.82309,
        63.364666,
        62.16868
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 66.849998,
    "trend_reference": 60.983532,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096198,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.083227,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308649,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.368415,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.126595,
    "excess_performance": 0.009932,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096198,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039593,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.308649,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088495,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013684,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015203,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126595,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.956815,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1025,
      "relative_activity": 0.030253,
      "balance": 4.956815,
      "dry_up": 0.237402,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022082,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.170002,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000449,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25802
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.983532,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.083227,
      "structural_low": 54.029999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.005942,
        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001638,
        "regime_survival": 0.825,
        "best_return": 0.093409,
        "worst_return": -0.102958,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.005395,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00981,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.130499,
        "worst_return": -0.100609,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.067587,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003289,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.165339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.110508,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 42495.9,
        "trend": 58.050622,
        "fair_value": 49.072988,
        "relative_strength": -0.716585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.236943,
        "energy": 33.407882,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 58.208131,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 32.839125,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 46375.6,
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        "fair_value": 49.315595,
        "relative_strength": -0.607621,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 48.702277,
        "energy": 35.519723,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 51271.45,
        "trend": 58.490865,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.626185,
        "energy": 41.113947,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 61.709999,
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        "typical_volume": 51207.25,
        "trend": 58.660994,
        "fair_value": 49.584022,
        "relative_strength": 0.794484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.608868,
        "energy": 47.961148,
        "activity_lines": [
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          59.449365,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 61.91,
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        "typical_volume": 51830.1,
        "trend": 58.869579,
        "fair_value": 49.722808,
        "relative_strength": 0.476409,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.357186,
        "energy": 57.759428,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 9802,
        "typical_volume": 51831.8,
        "trend": 59.073784,
        "fair_value": 49.862322,
        "relative_strength": -1.435359,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 74.479376,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 0.759069,
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        "energy": 81.255884,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 63.57,
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        "typical_volume": 50175.65,
        "trend": 59.607419,
        "fair_value": 50.16016,
        "relative_strength": 1.113059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.138018,
        "energy": 79.787859,
        "activity_lines": [
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          60.309234
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 65.589996,
        "volume": 519,
        "typical_volume": 49659.5,
        "trend": 59.882376,
        "fair_value": 50.325203,
        "relative_strength": 2.097008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.647973,
        "energy": 89.048535,
        "activity_lines": [
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          60.695206
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 4699,
        "typical_volume": 49487.1,
        "trend": 60.107673,
        "fair_value": 50.47092,
        "relative_strength": -0.28163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.616531,
        "energy": 82.090438,
        "activity_lines": [
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          63.428726,
          61.741475,
          60.969246
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.139999,
        "volume": 19145,
        "typical_volume": 49840.05,
        "trend": 60.319727,
        "fair_value": 50.617346,
        "relative_strength": -0.971038,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.587586,
        "energy": 75.622343,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.364664,
          63.723453,
          62.091047,
          61.229396
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.279999,
        "volume": 5989,
        "typical_volume": 44720.75,
        "trend": 60.54307,
        "fair_value": 50.759744,
        "relative_strength": -0.576661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.829236,
        "energy": 65.505024,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.339998,
          63.968908,
          62.442047,
          61.484898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.050003,
        "volume": 6015,
        "typical_volume": 38354.95,
        "trend": 60.758302,
        "fair_value": 50.915316,
        "relative_strength": -0.249654,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.620335,
        "energy": 56.881996,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.576,
          64.264908,
          62.835952,
          61.775668
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.849998,
        "volume": 1025,
        "typical_volume": 33881.35,
        "trend": 60.983532,
        "fair_value": 51.083227,
        "relative_strength": 1.368415,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.149207,
        "energy": 76.149338,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.313333,
          64.82309,
          63.364666,
          62.16868
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}