{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93930c5c-6d57-4932-8abe-de71138c9d98", "symbol": "VOOG", "name": "VANGUARD ADMIRAL FDS INC S&P 500 GROWTH INDEX FD ETF SHS", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.934, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.783, "architecture_energy": 41.877, "architecture_maturity": 36.701, "architecture_confidence": 63.865, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.94, "rotation_up": 45.52, "upward_expansion": 76.18, "deceleration": 68.2, "rotation_down": 26.21, "downward_expansion": 5.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.435333, 81.94617, 81.282604, 79.245412 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 85.42, "trend_reference": 76.901314, "distance_from_trend": 0.110774, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 60.692746, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.407417, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.768534, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.17546, "excess_performance": 0.049836, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.110774, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036473, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.407417, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016152, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017685, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009575, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.17546, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.345993, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7495751, "relative_activity": 1.207986, "balance": 1.345993, "dry_up": 1.116518, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039354, "annualized_volatility": 0.209104, "from_high_reference": -0.008358, "from_low_reference": 0.3158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.901314, "fair_value_reference": 60.692746, "structural_low": 64.918696, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"trend": 76.138116, "fair_value": 59.918841, "relative_strength": 0.112216, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.157469, "energy": 32.878386, "activity_lines": [ 81.569256, 81.664602, 80.080272, 78.113477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 79.82, "volume": 5694783, "typical_volume": 5622445.1, "trend": 76.301214, "fair_value": 60.156565, "relative_strength": -0.455998, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.879114, "energy": 29.796522, "activity_lines": [ 80.970667, 81.297917, 80.303291, 78.351018 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 81.29, "volume": 6623420, "typical_volume": 5885351.95, "trend": 76.545675, "fair_value": 60.410984, "relative_strength": 0.276609, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.513567, "energy": 27.18506, "activity_lines": [ 81.068, 81.239954, 80.623124, 78.672875 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 85.42, "volume": 7495751, "typical_volume": 6205162.7, "trend": 76.901314, "fair_value": 60.692746, "relative_strength": 1.768534, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.782502, "energy": 41.876523, "activity_lines": [ 82.435333, 81.94617, 81.282604, 79.245412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }