{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9395044e-357e-4d56-ae43-ee1f1c382902", "symbol": "IDEC", "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPED POWER BUFFER ET", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.228, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.729, "architecture_energy": 81.148, "architecture_maturity": 33.916, "architecture_confidence": 76.85, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 70.3, "upward_expansion": 90.6, "deceleration": 46.69, "rotation_down": 16.85, "downward_expansion": 17.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.773653, 34.562127, 34.259812, 33.963366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.31, "trend_reference": 33.662043, "distance_from_trend": 0.048956, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.392124, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.201342, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.812712, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.052399, "excess_performance": -0.073225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048956, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024167, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.201342, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027319, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038127, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007696, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052399, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.20536, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5676, "relative_activity": 0.28907, "balance": 2.20536, "dry_up": 0.362992, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012558, "annualized_volatility": 0.103538, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.167273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.662043, "fair_value_reference": 29.392124, "structural_low": 31.78, "invalidation": 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22859.55, "trend": 33.43788, "fair_value": 29.27463, "relative_strength": -3.148136, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.313167, "energy": 54.057037, "activity_lines": [ 34.33464, 34.227795, 33.927928, 33.713597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.26, "volume": 9522, "typical_volume": 21938.5, "trend": 33.50143, "fair_value": 29.310496, "relative_strength": -2.503592, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.842021, "energy": 52.392148, "activity_lines": [ 34.312193, 34.255875, 33.996349, 33.766637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.8206, "volume": 7721, "typical_volume": 21109.8, "trend": 33.57987, "fair_value": 29.349854, "relative_strength": -1.915258, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.795569, "energy": 60.947544, "activity_lines": [ 34.486613, 34.372384, 34.110719, 33.851745 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.31, "volume": 5676, "typical_volume": 19635.4, "trend": 33.662043, "fair_value": 29.392124, "relative_strength": -3.812712, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.729414, "energy": 81.14797, "activity_lines": [ 34.773653, 34.562127, 34.259812, 33.963366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }