{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93a95c65-855e-40b8-96eb-04b101d698f5", "symbol": "00952", "name": "KGI Taiwan Premium Selection AI 50 ETF", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.948, "architecture_energy": 21.194, "architecture_maturity": 73.099, "architecture_confidence": 85.587, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.74, "rotation_up": 23.37, "upward_expansion": 56.17, "deceleration": 91.13, "rotation_down": 28.41, "downward_expansion": 19.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.572013, 17.826627, 17.641496, 16.719882 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 17.74, "trend_reference": 15.409476, "distance_from_trend": 0.15124, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.463049, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.547581, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.638398, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.429493, "excess_performance": 0.050181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15124, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16717, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.547581, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076699, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006384, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020781, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.429493, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.053744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12649748, "relative_activity": 0.92382, "balance": 2.053744, "dry_up": 0.983325, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070374, "annualized_volatility": 0.334143, "from_high_reference": -0.120412, "from_low_reference": 0.856239 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.409476, "fair_value_reference": 11.463049, "structural_low": 11.548983, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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18.09603, 17.466928, 16.417933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.17, "volume": 19753087, "typical_volume": 13596993.5, "trend": 15.209259, "fair_value": 11.399646, "relative_strength": -1.418622, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.00856, "energy": 24.632753, "activity_lines": [ 17.611186, 17.904018, 17.537703, 16.556608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.74, "volume": 12649748, "typical_volume": 13692874.4, "trend": 15.409476, "fair_value": 11.463049, "relative_strength": -0.638398, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.948115, "energy": 21.193873, "activity_lines": [ 17.572013, 17.826627, 17.641496, 16.719882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }