{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93adeba9-5700-4f7c-9e52-b28c1b59c7bd", "symbol": "6167", "name": "Powertip Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.471, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.553, "architecture_energy": 71.441, "architecture_maturity": 19.654, "architecture_confidence": 88.101, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.66, "rotation_up": 11.14, "upward_expansion": 16.2, "deceleration": 37.33, "rotation_down": 75.31, "downward_expansion": 94.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.456667, 10.929091, 11.400714, 11.806129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 10.4, "trend_reference": 12.173333, "distance_from_trend": -0.145674, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.929951, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.253407, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.801459, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.111111, "excess_performance": -0.552483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145674, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008282, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.253407, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045615, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005835, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.111111, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.612923, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1214093, "relative_activity": 0.367961, "balance": 0.612923, "dry_up": 0.45636, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102515, "annualized_volatility": 0.423128, "from_high_reference": -0.405714, "from_low_reference": 0.062308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.173333, "fair_value_reference": 13.929951, "structural_low": 9.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.059017, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.037612, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.210526, "worst_return": -0.256228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.012862, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.071861, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.283619, "worst_return": -0.104184, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006745, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03721, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.028939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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12.083333, 11.967273, 12.282381, 12.378495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.75, "volume": 2661651, "typical_volume": 5352109.25, "trend": 12.331667, "fair_value": 14.058171, "relative_strength": -37.222643, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.608967, "energy": 36.75929, "activity_lines": [ 11.663333, 11.758182, 12.106905, 12.275591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.65, "volume": 1693356, "typical_volume": 5379186.35, "trend": 12.301667, "fair_value": 14.024391, "relative_strength": -38.300727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.046407, "energy": 54.783796, "activity_lines": [ 11.266667, 11.557273, 11.930952, 12.167097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.4, "volume": 2271442, "typical_volume": 5171057.3, "trend": 12.261667, "fair_value": 13.993512, "relative_strength": -38.107504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.186166, "energy": 68.806448, "activity_lines": [ 10.886667, 11.323636, 11.738095, 12.044409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.4, "volume": 844171, "typical_volume": 3384730.05, "trend": 12.231667, "fair_value": 13.960531, "relative_strength": -38.637673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.127678, "energy": 72.360445, "activity_lines": [ 10.6, 11.115455, 11.558571, 11.924301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.4, "volume": 1214093, "typical_volume": 3299514.7, "trend": 12.173333, "fair_value": 13.929951, "relative_strength": -39.801459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.553484, "energy": 71.44117, "activity_lines": [ 10.456667, 10.929091, 11.400714, 11.806129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }