{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93aff434-fb2e-4efc-bcc7-07c23e95e523", "symbol": "I1DX34", "name": "IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 86.984, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 17.672, "architecture_energy": 24.377, "architecture_maturity": 21.977, "architecture_confidence": 44.858, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.53, "rotation_up": 43.53, "upward_expansion": 34.97, "deceleration": 46.28, "rotation_down": 19.53, "downward_expansion": 47.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 586.146012, 576.02819, 569.170386, 578.212263 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 611.960022, "trend_reference": 603.548673, "distance_from_trend": 0.013936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 566.419233, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.080401, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.394182, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.099754, "excess_performance": -0.042706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013936, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098374, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.080401, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096262, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113942, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186709, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.099754, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.745501, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100, "relative_activity": 0.987167, "balance": 1.745501, "dry_up": 0.994571, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031494, "annualized_volatility": 0.258067, "from_high_reference": -0.247837, "from_low_reference": 0.173461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 603.548673, "fair_value_reference": 566.419233, "structural_low": 521.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017557, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.036191, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.042303, "worst_return": -0.081275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.025651, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.133, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.121298, "worst_return": -0.231326, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.074134, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00746, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.283053, "worst_return": -0.474198, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02146, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.005981, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.002038, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.010246, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050185, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Extended", 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"typical_volume": 101.3, "trend": 603.548673, "fair_value": 566.419233, "relative_strength": -11.394182, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 17.672468, "energy": 24.376935, "activity_lines": [ 586.146012, 576.02819, 569.170386, 578.212263 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }