{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93b25b66-3740-4401-9670-fe6f0edb16ee", "symbol": "4193", "name": "Nice One Beauty Digital Marketing Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.212, "architecture_energy": 82.984, "architecture_maturity": 17.786, "architecture_confidence": 78.655, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.3, "rotation_up": 8.22, "upward_expansion": 18.54, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 81.12, "downward_expansion": 94.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.860667, 12.612909, 13.099048, 13.288538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.51, "trend_reference": 13.906333, "distance_from_trend": -0.17232, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.214458, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.560929, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.7106, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.280625, "excess_performance": -0.248796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17232, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134047, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.560929, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042845, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.327106, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.280625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.77686, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1723527, "relative_activity": 0.359401, "balance": 0.77686, "dry_up": 0.47295, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078728, "annualized_volatility": 0.432813, "from_high_reference": -0.557308, "from_low_reference": 0.057904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.906333, "fair_value_reference": 26.214458, "structural_low": 10.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 13.97, "volume": 3208290, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.3, "volume": 2831946, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.85, "volume": 2428817, "typical_volume": 4817785.55, "trend": 14.520333, "fair_value": 26.760625, "relative_strength": -28.15525, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.959683, "energy": 32.025894, "activity_lines": [ 13.411333, 13.621636, 13.590429, 13.803742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.4, "volume": 1668552, "typical_volume": 4704643.9, "trend": 14.325333, "fair_value": 26.583333, "relative_strength": -29.779643, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.545444, "energy": 61.919578, "activity_lines": [ 13.005333, 13.397091, 13.492429, 13.666946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.04, "volume": 3251320, "typical_volume": 4740352.95, "trend": 14.09, "fair_value": 26.39378, "relative_strength": -34.907267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.341719, "energy": 83.608751, "activity_lines": [ 12.261333, 12.943818, 13.26881, 13.454989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.51, "volume": 1723527, "typical_volume": 4795549.15, "trend": 13.906333, "fair_value": 26.214458, "relative_strength": -32.7106, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.212375, "energy": 82.983628, "activity_lines": [ 11.860667, 12.612909, 13.099048, 13.288538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }