{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "93bc0953-7b40-4ccb-8744-3c342207f755",
    "symbol": "UNCA",
    "name": "First Trust US Equity Income UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.714,
    "architecture_energy": 78.636,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.513,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.649,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.08,
        "rotation_up": 85.65,
        "upward_expansion": 92.87,
        "deceleration": 46.65,
        "rotation_down": 9.4,
        "downward_expansion": 14.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.273,
        39.553818,
        38.289524,
        37.45657
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 40.744999,
    "trend_reference": 36.414833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.118912,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.278859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224351,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.964182,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.161654,
    "excess_performance": 0.07877,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118912,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061415,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.224351,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135155,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059642,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017696,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161654,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.61767,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 221,
      "relative_activity": 0.564207,
      "balance": 0.61767,
      "dry_up": 1.49349,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022523,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.126047,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026753,
      "from_low_reference": 0.29596
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.414833,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.278859,
      "structural_low": 34.285,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.002634,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00545,
        "regime_survival": 0.608696,
        "best_return": 0.073856,
        "worst_return": -0.121979,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.001146,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03033,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.080768,
        "worst_return": -0.15695,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.026263,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032134,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.093408,
        "worst_return": -0.143554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.012392,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070701,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.018554,
        "worst_return": -0.083495,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.088245,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "close": 35.610001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 311.3,
        "trend": 33.871167,
        "fair_value": 32.693846,
        "relative_strength": 4.194566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.602063,
        "energy": 79.318598,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.808334,
          35.584546,
          35.196905,
          34.673183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 35.279999,
        "volume": 2604,
        "typical_volume": 441.5,
        "trend": 33.999167,
        "fair_value": 32.729712,
        "relative_strength": 2.211082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.25574,
        "energy": 56.840434,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.654667,
          35.568273,
          35.248833,
          34.764075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 36.41,
        "volume": 444,
        "typical_volume": 463.7,
        "trend": 34.16,
        "fair_value": 32.774026,
        "relative_strength": 3.125129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.64407,
        "energy": 62.093036,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.894667,
          35.756182,
          35.397333,
          34.919613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.174999,
        "volume": 549,
        "typical_volume": 491.15,
        "trend": 34.307833,
        "fair_value": 32.813026,
        "relative_strength": 2.035187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.369461,
        "energy": 54.99991,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.992,
          35.865273,
          35.506405,
          35.049613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.855,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 491.15,
        "trend": 34.480333,
        "fair_value": 32.853346,
        "relative_strength": 4.93712,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.43056,
        "energy": 65.128079,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.291666,
          36.065545,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 38.119999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 491.15,
        "trend": 34.695,
        "fair_value": 32.899769,
        "relative_strength": 5.858573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 94.974431,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 32.948827,
        "relative_strength": 2.971848,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 86.151921,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.615215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 38.68,
        "volume": 215,
        "typical_volume": 349.35,
        "trend": 35.087,
        "fair_value": 33.000359,
        "relative_strength": 3.735016,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.318261,
        "energy": 96.739474,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.783,
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          36.388929,
          35.860581
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.27,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 349.35,
        "trend": 35.265333,
        "fair_value": 33.048904,
        "relative_strength": 0.827843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.812922,
        "energy": 90.965928,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.066,
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          36.615881,
          36.065935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.84,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 274.7,
        "trend": 35.455833,
        "fair_value": 33.096571,
        "relative_strength": 3.643248,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.586921,
        "energy": 88.945839,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.399334,
          37.750727,
          36.882571,
          36.296559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.035,
        "volume": 103,
        "typical_volume": 279.85,
        "trend": 35.687833,
        "fair_value": 33.144519,
        "relative_strength": 5.88624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.224209,
        "energy": 94.331917,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.998667,
          38.275,
          37.246071,
          36.591989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.360001,
        "volume": 1366,
        "typical_volume": 348.15,
        "trend": 35.9345,
        "fair_value": 33.188564,
        "relative_strength": 6.73884,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.346627,
        "energy": 91.141611,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.578667,
          38.777909,
          37.615429,
          36.893419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.095001,
        "volume": 650,
        "typical_volume": 380.65,
        "trend": 36.176667,
        "fair_value": 33.232263,
        "relative_strength": 5.82605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.650337,
        "energy": 72.545311,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.864667,
          39.140273,
          37.935024,
          37.161839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.744999,
        "volume": 221,
        "typical_volume": 391.7,
        "trend": 36.414833,
        "fair_value": 33.278859,
        "relative_strength": 5.964182,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.713714,
        "energy": 78.63608,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.273,
          39.553818,
          38.289524,
          37.45657
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}