{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93c1ae0b-d179-4a62-801f-857a98ea5244", "symbol": "300932", "name": "Sanyou Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.381, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.454, "architecture_energy": 33.45, "architecture_maturity": 10.002, "architecture_confidence": 80.221, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.09, "rotation_up": 19.4, "upward_expansion": 10.58, "deceleration": 36.98, "rotation_down": 52.67, "downward_expansion": 79.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.192, 9.344182, 9.534608, 9.627988 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.91, "trend_reference": 9.668022, "distance_from_trend": 0.025029, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.114291, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.392971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.404381, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05902, "excess_performance": 0.05162, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.025029, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025938, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.392971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198844, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054044, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054388, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05902, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.557263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87322045, "relative_activity": 1.227023, "balance": 0.557263, "dry_up": 1.277834, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.147559, "annualized_volatility": 0.77212, "from_high_reference": -0.250378, "from_low_reference": 0.338079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.668022, "fair_value_reference": 7.114291, "structural_low": 7.97, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.021222, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.034751, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.073465, "worst_return": -0.137931, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00715, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.093836, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.564022, "worst_return": -0.122946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.002434, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.100678, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.575399, "worst_return": -0.276854, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.69, "volume": 139638665, "typical_volume": 87730969.3, "trend": 9.618421, "fair_value": 7.031353, "relative_strength": -3.069777, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.081688, "energy": 11.105093, "activity_lines": [ 9.858, 9.736, 9.808471, 9.776794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.84, "volume": 113951371, "typical_volume": 87143722.65, "trend": 9.617076, "fair_value": 7.051199, "relative_strength": -2.573001, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.364332, "energy": 9.280716, "activity_lines": [ 9.636, 9.553273, 9.708716, 9.726573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.68, "volume": 97203317, "typical_volume": 84610259.7, "trend": 9.612738, "fair_value": 7.069495, "relative_strength": -4.436999, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.295882, "energy": 14.781059, "activity_lines": [ 9.336, 9.377273, 9.600601, 9.666116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.73, "volume": 65275409, "typical_volume": 73657556.1, "trend": 9.618256, "fair_value": 7.086918, "relative_strength": -2.262317, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.759733, "energy": 44.634588, "activity_lines": [ 9.082667, 9.238909, 9.505624, 9.609165 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.91, "volume": 87322045, "typical_volume": 71165771.45, "trend": 9.668022, "fair_value": 7.114291, "relative_strength": 5.404381, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.454098, "energy": 33.449578, "activity_lines": [ 9.192, 9.344182, 9.534608, 9.627988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }