{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93d19afb-dbf5-482d-8814-86644d6ec3d8", "symbol": "FXI", "name": "FX International AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.804, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.369, "architecture_energy": 54.038, "architecture_maturity": 46.884, "architecture_confidence": 87.231, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.43, "rotation_up": 14.73, "upward_expansion": 10.57, "deceleration": 40.78, "rotation_down": 58.62, "downward_expansion": 81.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.077773, 0.081053, 0.085725, 0.091205 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0818, "trend_reference": 0.097503, "distance_from_trend": -0.161054, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.179549, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.544413, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.180841, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152332, "excess_performance": -0.213826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.161054, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114518, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.544413, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095655, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321808, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076764, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152332, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.815088, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 526689, "relative_activity": 2.02066, "balance": 7.815088, "dry_up": 0.740824, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.185067, "annualized_volatility": 0.783253, "from_high_reference": -0.729139, "from_low_reference": 0.319355 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.097503, "fair_value_reference": 0.179549, "structural_low": 0.0702, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.029787, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": 0.000388, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.299065, "worst_return": -0.531818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.014796, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.040215, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.479592, "worst_return": -0.675676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.044118, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.031849, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.316327, "worst_return": -0.788934, "sufficient": true }, { 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-36.738789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.297479, "energy": 49.875987, "activity_lines": [ 0.084053, 0.087298, 0.09088, 0.095786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0754, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 242747.05, "trend": 0.10017, "fair_value": 0.186671, "relative_strength": -36.900421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.201499, "energy": 52.116468, "activity_lines": [ 0.08088, 0.0847, 0.088837, 0.094124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0722, "volume": 192706, "typical_volume": 245341.2, "trend": 0.099077, "fair_value": 0.183255, "relative_strength": -39.640807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.254523, "energy": 54.122093, "activity_lines": [ 0.07752, 0.081833, 0.08672, 0.09232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0818, "volume": 526689, "typical_volume": 260651.95, "trend": 0.097503, "fair_value": 0.179549, "relative_strength": -32.180841, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.36915, "energy": 54.037784, "activity_lines": [ 0.077773, 0.081053, 0.085725, 0.091205 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }