{ "ticker": { "uuid": "93da93da-275d-49e9-ad21-36bd42f12192", "symbol": "300970", "name": "Jiangsu Chinagreen Biological Technology Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.134, "architecture_energy": 85.996, "architecture_maturity": 24.292, "architecture_confidence": 92.797, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.14, "rotation_up": 11.16, "upward_expansion": 21.94, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 73.75, "downward_expansion": 95.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.388666, 17.468778, 19.95125, 21.313459 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.34, "trend_reference": 22.479887, "distance_from_trend": -0.228644, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.083034, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078155, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.679552, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.256751, "excess_performance": -0.264151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.228644, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010372, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.078155, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.602475, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146796, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.371105, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.256751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.301512, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25642012, "relative_activity": 0.72663, "balance": 0.301512, "dry_up": 0.759203, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118205, "annualized_volatility": 0.888746, "from_high_reference": -0.541608, "from_low_reference": 0.308679 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.479887, "fair_value_reference": 16.083034, "structural_low": 13.61, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.040105, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.024247, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.210873, "worst_return": -0.198327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.126113, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.063173, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.080844, "worst_return": -0.239321, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.193012, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.194531, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.039618, "worst_return": -0.346405, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 17.940001, "volume": 32129350, "typical_volume": 34635543.75, "trend": 22.786553, "fair_value": 16.257544, "relative_strength": -17.031262, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.478411, "energy": 57.763536, "activity_lines": [ 19.406, 20.459238, 22.600899, 23.024677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.86, "volume": 28457832, "typical_volume": 35243891.7, "trend": 22.772553, "fair_value": 16.211685, "relative_strength": -19.229253, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.472739, "energy": 77.635277, "activity_lines": [ 18.059334, 19.38884, 21.853011, 22.577803 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.97, "volume": 31523090, "typical_volume": 34955980.95, "trend": 22.68922, "fair_value": 16.16309, "relative_strength": -23.846745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.155536, "energy": 91.79861, "activity_lines": [ 16.791334, 18.367036, 21.061646, 22.074412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.139999, "volume": 21542969, "typical_volume": 34889770.3, "trend": 22.585553, "fair_value": 16.118268, "relative_strength": -16.492085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.915171, "energy": 88.254144, "activity_lines": [ 16.298667, 17.742113, 20.428757, 21.651882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.34, "volume": 25642012, "typical_volume": 35288965.85, "trend": 22.479887, "fair_value": 16.083034, "relative_strength": -14.679552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.133721, "energy": 85.995983, "activity_lines": [ 16.388666, 17.468778, 19.95125, 21.313459 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }