{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "940a7671-7ef8-4146-8fa4-758e28b12f50",
    "symbol": "SFOR",
    "name": "S4 Capital plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.078,
    "architecture_energy": 65.795,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.679,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.0,
        "rotation_up": 65.54,
        "upward_expansion": 80.72,
        "deceleration": 52.42,
        "rotation_down": 11.22,
        "downward_expansion": 12.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.416533,
        0.385318,
        0.383529,
        0.359419
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.524,
    "trend_reference": 0.321038,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.632203,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.368078,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.42361,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 80.897512,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.176758,
    "excess_performance": 1.125522,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.632203,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25318,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.42361,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.39006,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.808975,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023887,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.176758,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.597358,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 48803909,
      "relative_activity": 3.065243,
      "balance": 1.597358,
      "dry_up": 1.16144,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.123143,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.868662,
      "from_high_reference": -0.069272,
      "from_low_reference": 2.424568
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.321038,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.368078,
      "structural_low": 0.180495,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.013073,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012664,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.187189,
        "worst_return": -0.191962,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.291589,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.333481,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.113749,
        "worst_return": -0.318871,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.47603,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.518419,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.57989,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.74432,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.747861,
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        "worst_return": -0.755785,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.091021,
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2023-04-28",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.640561,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13647246.75,
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        "relative_strength": 27.532611,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.3765,
        "volume": 13595733,
        "typical_volume": 13934464.15,
        "trend": 0.310443,
        "fair_value": 0.370686,
        "relative_strength": 32.808414,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.038076,
        "energy": 18.723094,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.524,
        "volume": 48803909,
        "typical_volume": 15921707.8,
        "trend": 0.321038,
        "fair_value": 0.368078,
        "relative_strength": 80.897512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.078211,
        "energy": 65.794621,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}