{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "941351b1-df6e-4fdc-9bb6-5727b4d4cc9f",
    "symbol": "FR",
    "name": "Valeo SE",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.156,
    "architecture_energy": 59.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.561,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.349,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.84,
        "rotation_up": 61.85,
        "upward_expansion": 81.36,
        "deceleration": 54.08,
        "rotation_down": 16.11,
        "downward_expansion": 10.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.129,
        13.743364,
        13.192392,
        12.619664
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 14.755,
    "trend_reference": 12.099152,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.219507,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.563394,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.396805,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.069926,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.21826,
    "excess_performance": 0.044013,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219507,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077264,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.396805,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.373807,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050699,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14058,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21826,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.499941,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2523,
      "relative_activity": 1.042562,
      "balance": 1.499941,
      "dry_up": 1.82438,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082709,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.487733,
      "from_high_reference": -0.063769,
      "from_low_reference": 0.607836
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.099152,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.563394,
      "structural_low": 9.176933,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.001324,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002671,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.119059,
        "worst_return": -0.174544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.000765,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026799,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.128485,
        "worst_return": -0.188044,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.009719,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059597,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.176046,
        "worst_return": -0.059967,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.095078,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.231144,
        "worst_return": -0.4213,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.238076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.235391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003428,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": -13.339064,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.220125,
        "energy": 19.745027,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.603317,
          10.462515,
          10.925518,
          11.020297
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 10.159002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1425.6,
        "trend": 11.023371,
        "fair_value": 10.930319,
        "relative_strength": -15.859856,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.315221,
        "energy": 21.979857,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.50118,
          10.372498,
          10.831081,
          10.964583
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 11.154603,
        "volume": 739,
        "typical_volume": 1462.55,
        "trend": 11.070573,
        "fair_value": 10.903837,
        "relative_strength": -8.988117,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.72892,
        "energy": 16.075666,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.715765,
          10.506469,
          10.835836,
          10.97305
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.179203,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 1477.55,
        "trend": 11.153218,
        "fair_value": 10.875709,
        "relative_strength": -0.346835,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.856908,
        "energy": 16.969362,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.195845,
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          11.044575
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.227532,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1477.55,
        "trend": 11.170133,
        "fair_value": 10.845328,
        "relative_strength": -2.149292,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.309654,
        "energy": 30.184952,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.603107,
          11.146202,
          11.03931,
          11.113885
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.335,
        "volume": 3197,
        "typical_volume": 1554.15,
        "trend": 11.231375,
        "fair_value": 10.825498,
        "relative_strength": 3.705523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.670941,
        "energy": 71.34408,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.306063,
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          11.243138,
          11.253554
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 15.13,
        "volume": 3897,
        "typical_volume": 1739.0,
        "trend": 11.351483,
        "fair_value": 10.804282,
        "relative_strength": 18.260986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.21484,
        "energy": 92.528691,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.412374,
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          11.610687,
          11.505078
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 14.52,
        "volume": 2204,
        "typical_volume": 1833.95,
        "trend": 11.445137,
        "fair_value": 10.777044,
        "relative_strength": 9.980025,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.307856,
        "energy": 92.447151,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 13.63,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1666.85,
        "trend": 11.564542,
        "fair_value": 10.754599,
        "relative_strength": -1.073591,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.587233,
        "energy": 86.044991,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.034502,
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          12.097507,
          11.850458
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.51,
        "volume": 12337,
        "typical_volume": 2212.5,
        "trend": 11.630665,
        "fair_value": 10.722977,
        "relative_strength": -7.402129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.701844,
        "energy": 74.419204,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.615,
          13.161756,
          12.175256,
          11.911455
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.355,
        "volume": 3064,
        "typical_volume": 2365.7,
        "trend": 11.707072,
        "fair_value": 10.698625,
        "relative_strength": -3.537839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.540688,
        "energy": 47.281952,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.458333,
          13.312563,
          12.331584,
          12.022702
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.425,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2279.1,
        "trend": 11.751997,
        "fair_value": 10.66489,
        "relative_strength": -8.923622,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.535578,
        "energy": 25.923319,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.990333,
          13.240738,
          12.397102,
          12.06902
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.73,
        "volume": 4702,
        "typical_volume": 2077.0,
        "trend": 11.805154,
        "fair_value": 10.624581,
        "relative_strength": -4.799407,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.04138,
        "energy": 24.730587,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.804333,
          13.183168,
          12.492131,
          12.132117
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.745,
        "volume": 10435,
        "typical_volume": 2438.75,
        "trend": 11.896656,
        "fair_value": 10.595684,
        "relative_strength": 1.262486,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.809714,
        "energy": 28.018207,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.076,
          13.281501,
          12.679477,
          12.257268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.76,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2386.8,
        "trend": 12.001209,
        "fair_value": 10.578713,
        "relative_strength": 8.487024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.248162,
        "energy": 43.346334,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.678333,
          13.535909,
          12.94722,
          12.442
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.755,
        "volume": 2523,
        "typical_volume": 2420.0,
        "trend": 12.099152,
        "fair_value": 10.563394,
        "relative_strength": 5.069926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.156399,
        "energy": 59.477232,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.129,
          13.743364,
          13.192392,
          12.619664
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}