{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "943c35d4-59a6-4671-83d5-8ace62a5df9d",
    "symbol": "IXUS",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 52.439,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.532,
    "architecture_energy": 37.759,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.027,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.707,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.24,
        "rotation_up": 29.49,
        "upward_expansion": 66.42,
        "deceleration": 85.5,
        "rotation_down": 33.24,
        "downward_expansion": 25.42
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
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    "latest_close": 1627.0,
    "trend_reference": 1606.371855,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012841,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1318.468137,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234008,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.404391,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.034816,
    "excess_performance": 0.089483,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012841,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234008,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030619,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024044,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040734,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034816,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.115304,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.115304,
      "dry_up": 2.912186,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.00747,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.076833,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028204,
      "from_low_reference": 0.218608
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1606.371855,
      "fair_value_reference": 1318.468137,
      "structural_low": 1552.19397,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.000394,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012741,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.274603,
        "worst_return": -0.012763,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.000989,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015299,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.330021,
        "worst_return": -0.078959,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.033947,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0659,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.275804,
        "worst_return": -0.131409,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.11833,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000942,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "fair_value": 1282.398613,
        "relative_strength": 3.204876,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 2.598449,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 4.980181,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 1589.009302,
        "fair_value": 1299.980061,
        "relative_strength": 5.086274,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 11.65,
        "trend": 1594.037187,
        "fair_value": 1303.531675,
        "relative_strength": 5.85469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 69.356339,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1674.219971,
        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 12.6,
        "trend": 1598.465853,
        "fair_value": 1307.474925,
        "relative_strength": 6.162532,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.862578,
        "energy": 72.467051,
        "activity_lines": [
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          1635.608847,
          1618.905836
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1638.160034,
        "volume": 122,
        "typical_volume": 18.7,
        "trend": 1601.692521,
        "fair_value": 1311.187021,
        "relative_strength": 4.151383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.975307,
        "energy": 65.044921,
        "activity_lines": [
          1658.116008,
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          1637.847062,
          1621.466751
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1627.0,
        "volume": 184,
        "typical_volume": 27.9,
        "trend": 1604.547188,
        "fair_value": 1314.827579,
        "relative_strength": 2.51607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.741024,
        "energy": 48.167617,
        "activity_lines": [
          1646.822005,
          1652.996578,
          1638.708607,
          1623.099491
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1627.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 27.9,
        "trend": 1606.371855,
        "fair_value": 1318.468137,
        "relative_strength": 2.404391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.5324,
        "energy": 37.759124,
        "activity_lines": [
          1637.995337,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}