{ "ticker": { "uuid": "943f4861-4ffd-4b9d-a711-1cd49411cc11", "symbol": "LEXUS", "name": "Lexus Granito (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.944, "architecture_energy": 52.539, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.711, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.9, "rotation_up": 29.32, "upward_expansion": 10.03, "deceleration": 60.51, "rotation_down": 44.94, "downward_expansion": 81.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.069333, 15.173091, 16.207619, 18.844473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.09, "trend_reference": 22.252333, "distance_from_trend": -0.321869, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.780321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.566134, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.608612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.440489, "excess_performance": -0.39678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.321869, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155274, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.566134, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07959, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.386086, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075874, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.440489, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.349926, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 110898, "relative_activity": 0.748892, "balance": 0.349926, "dry_up": 0.85877, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136055, "annualized_volatility": 0.723544, "from_high_reference": -0.615541, "from_low_reference": 0.138868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.252333, "fair_value_reference": 34.780321, "structural_low": 13.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.020015, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.01908, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.579143, "worst_return": -0.218371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.029531, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.068803, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.430328, "worst_return": -0.35182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.028894, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.148626, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.384921, "worst_return": -0.403745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -43.852005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.525348, "energy": 80.196838, "activity_lines": [ 15.082, 15.811455, 17.995619, 20.894882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.120001, "volume": 196815, "typical_volume": 148819.8, "trend": 23.389666, "fair_value": 35.246154, "relative_strength": -36.281165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.149688, "energy": 61.857184, "activity_lines": [ 15.399334, 15.708546, 17.472476, 20.402538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.13, "volume": 139933, "typical_volume": 147456.8, "trend": 23.011333, "fair_value": 35.087051, "relative_strength": -37.927187, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.625378, "energy": 57.454769, "activity_lines": [ 15.325334, 15.485273, 16.960714, 19.869656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.66, "volume": 61030, "typical_volume": 145920.85, "trend": 22.629, "fair_value": 34.925897, "relative_strength": -40.62279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.127372, "energy": 58.572685, "activity_lines": [ 15.142667, 15.252182, 16.512143, 19.33086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.09, "volume": 110898, "typical_volume": 148082.75, "trend": 22.252333, "fair_value": 34.780321, "relative_strength": -38.608612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.944142, "energy": 52.538711, "activity_lines": [ 15.069333, 15.173091, 16.207619, 18.844473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }