{ "ticker": { "uuid": "94478bbd-1a21-4b57-ba18-a3eb1dc48cfa", "symbol": "RDZN", "name": "Roadzen Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.398, "architecture_energy": 60.189, "architecture_maturity": 13.372, "architecture_confidence": 80.033, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.58, "rotation_up": 8.17, "upward_expansion": 19.57, "deceleration": 43.98, "rotation_down": 70.87, "downward_expansion": 83.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.221333, 1.297091, 1.449524, 1.44243 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.33, "trend_reference": 1.465, "distance_from_trend": -0.09215, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.287844, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.418667, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.092802, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.152866, "excess_performance": -0.34032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09215, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080544, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.418667, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180619, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.190928, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31584, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152866, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.257926, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 956309, "relative_activity": 0.370571, "balance": 0.257926, "dry_up": 0.54687, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181319, "annualized_volatility": 1.057791, "from_high_reference": -0.480469, "from_low_reference": 0.639951 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.465, "fair_value_reference": 2.287844, "structural_low": 0.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.314791, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.228823, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.41791, "worst_return": 0.009615, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.202563, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.0973, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.517067, "worst_return": -0.11194, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.908976, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.656601, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.908976, "worst_return": 0.908976, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"typical_volume": 2482217.2, "trend": 1.534333, "fair_value": 2.301909, "relative_strength": -23.900111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.476859, "energy": 54.719761, "activity_lines": [ 1.227333, 1.385636, 1.490952, 1.477785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.15, "volume": 1794735, "typical_volume": 2548767.65, "trend": 1.493667, "fair_value": 2.294229, "relative_strength": -26.639006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.772835, "energy": 65.431888, "activity_lines": [ 1.179333, 1.318182, 1.461619, 1.452989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.33, "volume": 956309, "typical_volume": 2580634.8, "trend": 1.465, "fair_value": 2.287844, "relative_strength": -19.092802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.398207, "energy": 60.189363, "activity_lines": [ 1.221333, 1.297091, 1.449524, 1.44243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }