{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9459668c-7681-4401-b262-31980c37fb30", "symbol": "2453", "name": "Syscom Computer Engineering Co.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.877, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.767, "architecture_energy": 10.804, "architecture_maturity": 9.955, "architecture_confidence": 43.784, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.85, "rotation_up": 22.37, "upward_expansion": 15.71, "deceleration": 58.74, "rotation_down": 44.63, "downward_expansion": 38.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.253334, 52.581706, 53.094457, 52.782502 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 51.700001, "trend_reference": 52.601524, "distance_from_trend": -0.017139, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.31585, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.011772, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.378093, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028085, "excess_performance": -0.413287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014373, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.011772, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009092, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313781, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040777, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028085, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.573716, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1173500, "relative_activity": 0.400325, "balance": 1.573716, "dry_up": 0.472228, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064557, "annualized_volatility": 0.265955, "from_high_reference": -0.170949, "from_low_reference": 0.09428 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.601524, "fair_value_reference": 52.31585, "structural_low": 47.245683, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.019954, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -2.8e-05, "regime_survival": 0.409091, "best_return": 0.171171, "worst_return": -0.115517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.032933, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.031358, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 1.706114, "worst_return": -0.073756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.146809, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.068442, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.661355, 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0.035587, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.091776, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.051458, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.023729, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068965, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.023392, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.200001, "volume": 2022170, "typical_volume": 3141368.2, "trend": 52.505557, "fair_value": 52.355527, "relative_strength": -27.021445, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.969052, "energy": 12.148989, "activity_lines": [ 52.537696, 53.114816, 53.187521, 52.819245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.799999, "volume": 992112, "typical_volume": 3010012.25, "trend": 52.563952, "fair_value": 52.329383, "relative_strength": -28.458441, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.725906, "energy": 9.802615, "activity_lines": [ 52.52, 52.9011, 53.194599, 52.838241 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.700001, "volume": 1173500, "typical_volume": 2931365.05, "trend": 52.601524, "fair_value": 52.31585, "relative_strength": -31.378093, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.76688, "energy": 10.804056, "activity_lines": [ 52.253334, 52.581706, 53.094457, 52.782502 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }