{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9462a8e8-c076-426b-97c1-ed5ce26cf572", "symbol": "FLNT", "name": "Flint Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.891, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.454, "architecture_energy": 29.58, "architecture_maturity": 11.622, "architecture_confidence": 62.196, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.69, "rotation_up": 26.68, "upward_expansion": 11.6, "deceleration": 52.32, "rotation_down": 45.96, "downward_expansion": 48.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.406, 1.408, 1.477333, 1.493355 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.45, "trend_reference": 1.48, "distance_from_trend": -0.02027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.261218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.149682, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.64508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.115385, "excess_performance": -0.005037, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02027, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021629, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.149682, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076451, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172546, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115385, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.842667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10600, "relative_activity": 0.595004, "balance": 0.842667, "dry_up": 0.531855, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085411, "annualized_volatility": 0.610832, "from_high_reference": -0.260204, "from_low_reference": 0.8125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.48, "fair_value_reference": 1.261218, "structural_low": 1.27, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.003472, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.020214, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.006944, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.047882, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.0389, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.428571, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.386799, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.428571, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.158621, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.030303, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057971, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.092308, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.103448, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.135802, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.006944, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.2, "volume": 12536, "typical_volume": 6727.35, "trend": 1.546667, "fair_value": 2.130769, "relative_strength": -25.02988, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.931291, "energy": 68.711733, "activity_lines": [ 1.2, 1.309091, 1.428571, 1.483011 ] }, { 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"typical_volume": 18995.0, "trend": 1.475333, "fair_value": 1.258077, "relative_strength": -13.784676, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.416753, "energy": 48.920161, "activity_lines": [ 1.365333, 1.408364, 1.49619, 1.497376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.44, "volume": 8100, "typical_volume": 18880.0, "trend": 1.477, "fair_value": 1.259615, "relative_strength": -5.416696, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.120928, "energy": 33.308661, "activity_lines": [ 1.385333, 1.405636, 1.486333, 1.495097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.45, "volume": 10600, "typical_volume": 17815.0, "trend": 1.48, "fair_value": 1.261218, "relative_strength": -7.64508, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.45441, "energy": 29.580387, "activity_lines": [ 1.406, 1.408, 1.477333, 1.493355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }