{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9464c3a1-e2b5-40fb-90d8-108caa4f336d", "symbol": "XTWO", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG TWO YR TRGT DURTN US TRSRY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.089, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.044, "architecture_energy": 11.242, "architecture_maturity": 28.717, "architecture_confidence": 63.393, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.03, "rotation_up": 22.08, "upward_expansion": 18.41, "deceleration": 34.72, "rotation_down": 35.22, "downward_expansion": 57.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.721231, 48.71886, 48.729707, 48.75082 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 48.815, "trend_reference": 48.771294, "distance_from_trend": 0.000896, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.544244, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.562092, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.000135, "excess_performance": -0.12576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000896, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001282, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048787, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009616, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002594, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000135, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.896085, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 176673, "relative_activity": 0.719567, "balance": 0.896085, "dry_up": 1.806924, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003303, "annualized_volatility": 0.016598, "from_high_reference": -0.004864, "from_low_reference": 0.022149 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.771294, "fair_value_reference": 46.544244, 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"relative_strength": -9.568494, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.748853, "energy": 12.418303, "activity_lines": [ 48.718806, 48.724498, 48.765122, 48.767722 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 48.847863, "volume": 138841, "typical_volume": 162862.1, "trend": 48.750753, "fair_value": 46.334545, "relative_strength": -6.842383, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.828537, "energy": 5.58396, "activity_lines": [ 48.764956, 48.740048, 48.769511, 48.77468 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 48.695898, "volume": 163700, "typical_volume": 163091.05, "trend": 48.758229, "fair_value": 46.37059, "relative_strength": -8.823731, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.555421, "energy": 7.360212, "activity_lines": [ 48.747026, 48.730496, 48.759301, 48.771141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.654828, "volume": 335031, "typical_volume": 175242.55, "trend": 48.762407, "fair_value": 46.405016, "relative_strength": -9.823828, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.751605, "energy": 10.406519, "activity_lines": [ 48.720063, 48.718046, 48.746437, 48.76447 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.715835, "volume": 737193, "typical_volume": 208748.15, "trend": 48.76584, "fair_value": 46.440002, "relative_strength": -8.02022, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.366944, "energy": 19.688428, "activity_lines": [ 48.713344, 48.718252, 48.740647, 48.761465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.611166, "volume": 763327, "typical_volume": 242397.9, "trend": 48.764967, "fair_value": 46.474487, "relative_strength": -7.433699, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.164584, "energy": 41.70274, "activity_lines": [ 48.674888, 48.700607, 48.726498, 48.751486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.705866, "volume": 97399, "typical_volume": 240534.4, "trend": 48.766229, "fair_value": 46.508846, "relative_strength": -7.946367, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.487849, "energy": 36.989144, "activity_lines": [ 48.675137, 48.700352, 48.722727, 48.747673 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.815, "volume": 176673, "typical_volume": 245526.7, "trend": 48.771294, "fair_value": 46.544244, "relative_strength": -10.562092, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.043586, "energy": 11.241964, "activity_lines": [ 48.721231, 48.71886, 48.729707, 48.75082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }