{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9467a375-f386-41ce-8d0f-03d4343fea38", "symbol": "DECK", "name": "Deckers Outdoor Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.813, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.457, "architecture_energy": 55.232, "architecture_maturity": 8.27, "architecture_confidence": 84.661, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.08, "rotation_up": 10.21, "upward_expansion": 11.44, "deceleration": 38.35, "rotation_down": 64.92, "downward_expansion": 84.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.794, 101.836727, 103.785476, 104.452731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 97.46, "trend_reference": 105.747333, "distance_from_trend": -0.078369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 126.139049, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.227361, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.157896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.155825, "excess_performance": -0.28145, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078369, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029679, "read": "Rising" 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"mixed", "direction": -11.833201, "energy": 10.33863, "activity_lines": [ 105.914, 107.146, 105.960476, 106.284194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.04, "volume": 16361816, "typical_volume": 10151253.9, "trend": 106.287667, "fair_value": 126.073504, "relative_strength": -14.348402, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.508961, "energy": 31.891564, "activity_lines": [ 102.538, 105.21, 105.131476, 105.607892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.88, "volume": 12760850, "typical_volume": 10258355.0, "trend": 105.957333, "fair_value": 126.104284, "relative_strength": -14.118346, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.641443, "energy": 49.862818, "activity_lines": [ 100.313333, 103.381636, 104.421571, 105.000946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.46, "volume": 8256777, "typical_volume": 10092714.45, "trend": 105.747333, "fair_value": 126.139049, "relative_strength": -16.157896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.457148, "energy": 55.23167, "activity_lines": [ 98.794, 101.836727, 103.785476, 104.452731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }