{ "ticker": { "uuid": "946d9f3a-65c3-4bf1-8401-8aa960f7171e", "symbol": "002519", "name": "Jiangsu Yinhe Electronics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.181, "architecture_energy": 79.892, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.353, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.33, "rotation_up": 16.79, "upward_expansion": 18.96, "deceleration": 39.37, "rotation_down": 70.63, "downward_expansion": 94.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.277333, 5.510909, 6.220857, 6.786215 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.54, "trend_reference": 7.565, "distance_from_trend": -0.26768, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.697616, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027664, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.900249, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.292465, "excess_performance": -0.299865, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.26768, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00907, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.583288, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.334159, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.292465, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.592411, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166860380, "relative_activity": 0.650009, "balance": 0.592411, "dry_up": 0.829662, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114968, "annualized_volatility": 0.59188, "from_high_reference": -0.561014, "from_low_reference": 0.236607 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.565, "fair_value_reference": 5.697616, "structural_low": 4.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.079214, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.039514, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.32043, "worst_return": -0.147239, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.167033, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.086015, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.109677, "worst_return": -0.044693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.182477, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.119517, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.495851, "worst_return": -0.04908, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.342686, "energy": 81.030891, "activity_lines": [ 6.004, 6.334364, 7.006286, 7.434301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.85, "volume": 301733843, "typical_volume": 291538788.65, "trend": 7.669667, "fair_value": 5.714681, "relative_strength": -25.67777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.674453, "energy": 91.080307, "activity_lines": [ 5.598, 5.983455, 6.751333, 7.248602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.98, "volume": 207102828, "typical_volume": 272882172.1, "trend": 7.631, "fair_value": 5.704664, "relative_strength": -23.729766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.252164, "energy": 87.852333, "activity_lines": [ 5.332, 5.728727, 6.532381, 7.075075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.21, "volume": 176214639, "typical_volume": 261197950.95, "trend": 7.596333, "fair_value": 5.698888, "relative_strength": -18.831417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.326037, "energy": 80.914036, "activity_lines": [ 5.228667, 5.569818, 6.353857, 6.918882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.54, "volume": 166860380, "typical_volume": 256704556.8, "trend": 7.565, "fair_value": 5.697616, "relative_strength": -17.900249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.181002, "energy": 79.892315, "activity_lines": [ 5.277333, 5.510909, 6.220857, 6.786215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }