{ "ticker": { "uuid": "946db134-1f1c-40f6-8956-df3b96421a62", "symbol": "ASTEC", "name": "Astec LifeSciences Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 71.848, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.572, "architecture_energy": 43.446, "architecture_maturity": 11.793, "architecture_confidence": 75.386, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.39, "rotation_up": 14.45, "upward_expansion": 20.93, "deceleration": 54.44, "rotation_down": 69.2, "downward_expansion": 50.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 651.45999, 681.599997, 702.869284, 689.403762 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 620.5, "trend_reference": 668.938334, "distance_from_trend": -0.072411, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 944.995194, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.343383, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.720896, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.024294, "excess_performance": 0.019415, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00521, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.343383, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055526, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117209, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117125, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.024294, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.054685, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 174098, "relative_activity": 0.199937, "balance": 2.054685, "dry_up": 0.218547, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100781, "annualized_volatility": 0.454021, "from_high_reference": -0.34112, "from_low_reference": 0.208609 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 668.938334, "fair_value_reference": 944.995194, "structural_low": 513.400024, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.00389, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.004083, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.190662, "worst_return": -0.091489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.002235, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.050859, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.222798, "worst_return": -0.167533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.110089, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.173866, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.234394, "worst_return": -0.252301, 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655.349976, "volume": 173600, "typical_volume": 878718.4, "trend": 669.568335, "fair_value": 949.597117, "relative_strength": -6.533366, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.677192, "energy": 20.833289, "activity_lines": [ 671.579989, 700.163633, 709.827379, 692.569461 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 620.5, "volume": 174098, "typical_volume": 870765.35, "trend": 668.938334, "fair_value": 944.995194, "relative_strength": -11.720896, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.571704, "energy": 43.446093, "activity_lines": [ 651.45999, 681.599997, 702.869284, 689.403762 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }