{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9476b5c3-b635-49ff-96ac-93e5f8dc3f18",
    "symbol": "HTRO",
    "name": "Hexatronic Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.158,
    "architecture_energy": 24.173,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.421,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.621,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.09,
        "rotation_up": 46.95,
        "upward_expansion": 66.81,
        "deceleration": 62.5,
        "rotation_down": 21.9,
        "downward_expansion": 12.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.088,
        39.635273,
        40.224619,
        38.509097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 40.389999,
    "trend_reference": 35.310333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.143858,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.095545,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.184612,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 24.786908,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.479487,
    "excess_performance": 0.417993,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143858,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.223448,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184612,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067446,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247869,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.254192,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.479487,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.709118,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5196006,
      "relative_activity": 0.860371,
      "balance": 0.709118,
      "dry_up": 1.19414,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.127945,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.596695,
      "from_high_reference": -0.14428,
      "from_low_reference": 1.456812
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.310333,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.095545,
      "structural_low": 25.299999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.013712,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01743,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.348152,
        "worst_return": -0.204508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.002672,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042735,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.429504,
        "worst_return": -0.252087,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.152701,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173392,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.47538,
        "worst_return": -0.559801,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.603402,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.644684,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.727704,
        "worst_return": -0.832205,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-01-13",
        "end": "2023-03-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-03-17",
        "end": "2023-03-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-04-07",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.72156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.124307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.631281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.111853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.150987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.43313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.069934,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 11714505,
        "typical_volume": 6493684.95,
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        "fair_value": 34.842596,
        "relative_strength": 51.059526,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.849998,
        "volume": 4976387,
        "typical_volume": 6295127.7,
        "trend": 34.275667,
        "fair_value": 34.565481,
        "relative_strength": 32.485337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 34.607209,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.880001,
        "volume": 6959985,
        "typical_volume": 6275102.9,
        "trend": 34.753,
        "fair_value": 34.298045,
        "relative_strength": 20.193492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.820549,
        "energy": 16.215961,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.716667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.389999,
        "volume": 5196006,
        "typical_volume": 6039258.85,
        "trend": 35.310333,
        "fair_value": 34.095545,
        "relative_strength": 24.786908,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.158422,
        "energy": 24.172586,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.088,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}