{ "ticker": { "uuid": "947a56ff-8a3a-4d10-8e48-2fff38be2422", "symbol": "FCQH", "name": "Fidelity U.S. High Quality Currency Neutral ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.985, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.25, "architecture_energy": 79.52, "architecture_maturity": 31.409, "architecture_confidence": 79.42, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 69.1, "upward_expansion": 91.17, "deceleration": 47.51, "rotation_down": 22.32, "downward_expansion": 15.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.557999, 65.049458, 64.256695, 63.20127 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 67.82, "trend_reference": 62.215205, "distance_from_trend": 0.090087, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.311138, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226154, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.429618, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096572, "excess_performance": -0.023849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090087, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01885, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.226154, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046065, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024296, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047439, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096572, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.425287, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1800, "relative_activity": 0.895522, "balance": 1.425287, "dry_up": 1.641791, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016864, "annualized_volatility": 0.160818, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.223084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.215205, "fair_value_reference": 55.311138, "structural_low": 55.450001, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-06-26", "close": 63.439999, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 2345.0, "trend": 61.52526, "fair_value": 54.495875, "relative_strength": -6.986397, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.459135, "energy": 61.627378, "activity_lines": [ 64.021866, 63.842563, 62.370572, 61.887576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 65.18, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 2020.0, "trend": 61.643152, "fair_value": 54.639521, "relative_strength": -4.837325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.607259, "energy": 56.847504, "activity_lines": [ 64.326685, 64.156813, 62.730063, 62.123365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 64.809998, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 1805.0, "trend": 61.740736, "fair_value": 54.773194, "relative_strength": -5.188019, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.196522, "energy": 63.271218, "activity_lines": [ 64.488734, 64.342619, 63.033833, 62.327678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.949997, "volume": 3300, "typical_volume": 1865.0, "trend": 61.858105, "fair_value": 54.904875, "relative_strength": -4.566052, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.541871, "energy": 75.549054, "activity_lines": [ 64.709996, 64.494358, 63.334831, 62.534727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.68, "volume": 2100, "typical_volume": 1840.0, "trend": 61.912705, "fair_value": 55.024269, "relative_strength": -6.364333, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.533917, "energy": 59.020307, "activity_lines": [ 64.428665, 64.381962, 63.500816, 62.652269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.629997, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 2085.0, "trend": 62.027763, "fair_value": 55.156726, "relative_strength": -4.239327, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.968803, "energy": 51.253086, "activity_lines": [ 64.501331, 64.438144, 63.741464, 62.827578 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.82, "volume": 1800, "typical_volume": 2010.0, "trend": 62.215205, "fair_value": 55.311138, "relative_strength": -2.429618, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.249866, "energy": 79.520008, "activity_lines": [ 65.557999, 65.049458, 64.256695, 63.20127 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }